2024: What’s the Worst That Could Happen?

Why It Matters

Council on Foreign Relations

News

4.2 • 876 Ratings

🗓️ 13 March 2024

⏱️ 32 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Every January, CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey analyzes the conflicts most likely to occur in the year ahead and measures their potential impact. For the first time, the survey predicts that this year/in 2024 the United States will contend not only with a slew of global threats, but also a high risk of upheaval within its own borders. Is the country prepared for the eruption of election-related instability at home while wars continue to rage abroad? Featured Guest: Paul B. Stares (General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action) For an episode transcript and show notes, visit us at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/2024-whats-worst-could-happen

Transcript

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0:00.0	A global battle of political systems is underway.
0:05.0	2024's election bonanza kicked off in January in Taiwan.
0:10.0	And outside of Israel and Gaza, we've seen attacks in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen just over the course of this weekend.
0:17.0	2023 was the hottest year on record.
0:20.0	Scientists warned that this year could very well be even harder.
0:24.0	China's hackers are positioning on American infrastructure.
0:28.0	The Kim Jong-un regime is showing off its increasingly diverse
0:32.0	What's coming in artificial intelligence?
0:35.0	Pensions of migrants crossing the southern US border
0:38.0	are once again reaching round level.
0:40.0	What else will the next 12 months bring?
0:47.0	The country's experts on foreign policy and national security usually have a world of outside threats to keep them occupied.
1:02.0	But this year, a group of analysts surveyed by
1:05.2	CFR have sounded the biggest alarm about something bubbling up at home. Political violence
1:11.4	around this year's presidential elections.
1:14.0	They've also flagged the prospects of a surge in migration at the southwest U.S. border as a leading concern.
1:21.0	And while both scenarios are playing out, rather unusually, on US soil,
1:26.7	they have consequences for the rest of the world. To help sort through these and other
1:32.0	worries, we turn to Paul Stairs.
1:35.2	Paul is a C.F.R. Senior Fellow and Director of the Center for Preventative Action,
1:40.2	which runs a yearly survey of global threats and priorities.
1:44.0	I'm Gabrielle Sierra, and this is why it matters.
	...

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