Hi, I'm Spitzer Martin, along with Johann Berniel, and this is Outcomes.

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If you're not, welcome. This is the show where Johan Brunel and myself, Spencer Martin, from the Beyond the Peloton newsletter, predict the outcome of nearly every major race.

In this episode, we are going to predict the GC for the 2024 Tour de France and Stage 1 as well.

Johan, we start.

I was going to say this is a weird start to the race because it starts abroad and starts with the mountain stage. But this is essentially what we had last year. Last year was in the Basque Country. This year is in Florence and Italy. We get they're going right out of the gate. We have one, two, three, four, five, six, seven categorized climbs tomorrow. Flat finish though. mean the tour the tour is 21 days if

you're unfamiliar but it's 21 days of racing extremely hard final few final few days

all list off the favorites for the overall this is on Unibet in Europe if you're in the

U.S. I'm not in the U.S. at the moment but when I am I, I use Fanduel and Draft Kings. Those are the two best books, the two biggest books. They'll give you the most liquidity in the markets to bet. But I'll list them off on Unibet. It's generally a lot of parity between them, so it won't be too different. We'll start with the GC and then go to stage one after that. But the winner, the favorite for the overall is Tadipagachar at minus 167. The second is Jonas Findigo, the two-time Defini champion at plus 225. Primos Roglitz third at plus 800. Remco Evan and Pell at plus 1,000, Juso plus 3,300, Carlos Rodriguez plus 3,300, Adam Yates plus 3,300, Schwallameda plus 5,000,

Mateo Jorgensen, Jorgensen, plus 5,000, Egan Bernal plus 6,600.

If you're confused about what those numbers are, it means, like if Roglitch is plus 800, if you bet $100,

you'll win $800 a profit if he wins.

But, Johan, who is your pick to win this Tour de France?

Yeah.

Hi, Spencer.

Well, it's pretty simple, you know, seen especially after what happened during this season already,

the two-time win the last two-time winner, Jonas Wingergaard, had this big crash, is recovered, but hasn't raised since the crash in the Basque Country.

So Pogacar has been on an unbelievable level. I think he's upped his level compared to last year.

And so I can't see how he does not win this race.

He's in super shape.

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