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Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

2023 Starting Pitcher Preview, Part 1

Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

The Athletic

Sports, Mlb, Fantasy Baseball, Baseball

4.7874 Ratings

🗓️ 23 January 2023

⏱️ 93 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eno and DVR begin Pitcher Week with a look at the starting pitchers with Top 100 overall ADP in January drafts. 


Rundown

5:34 ADP Tier 1: Elite of the Elite: Corbin Burnes, Gerrit Cole, Sandy Alcantara, Jacob deGrom

14:43 ADP Tier 1.5: Spencer Strider, Brandon Woodruff, Aaron Nola, Shane McClanahan, Dylan Cease, Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodón, Max Scherzer, Zack Wheeler, Julio Urías

53:25 ADP Tier 2: (Pick 60-80) Mostly SP2s: Shane Bieber, Luis Castillo, Kevin Gausman, Alek Manoah, Cristian Javier, Zac Gallen, Max Fried 

1:18:08 ADP Tier 2.5: (Pick 80-100): Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish, Framber Valdez, Triston McKenzie, Tyler Glasnow


Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

He's having a blinder. He's clipped the post. He's looking formidable. Then...

0:09.0

His game might be over, but yours isn't.

0:14.0

With Betfair's safe sob, your bet simply rolls onto the player coming on.

0:18.0

Playing a different league with BetFair.

0:24.6

Balladon selected leagues and markets only applies to singles, multiples and bet-builder bets on qualified player outcome selections does not apply to odds, boost,

0:27.6

teas and season season exclusions apply 18 plus gamblerware.org. Welcome to Rates and barrels.

0:48.8

It is Monday, January 23rd, and welcome to Pitcher Week.

0:53.3

This is the first of four pitcher-centric episodes that we're going to have in the feed this week.

0:58.9

We're going to break down all things starting pitchers over the next three episodes.

1:02.9

And then at the end of the week, we will have a relief pitcher breakdown for the upcoming season.

1:08.9

It's the best week of the year.

1:10.1

And it's kicking off our position preview series for

1:12.7

2023.

1:14.1

That's right.

1:15.4

In some sort of multiverse mind-bending way, we've recorded a lot of that content that

1:22.5

has yet to come, but we will kick it off with the best pitch the pitchers. And that's, you know, tied to my

1:29.3

pitcher rankings that came out last week. But there is news in this space. In the effort to

1:36.2

improve the model, we have taken stuff plus and we've done a couple of things to it. We've

1:41.4

trained it on 2022 data, which is always better when it's trained against more data.

1:46.5

We have separated it into three models,

1:49.4

one fastball model, one breaking ball bottle,

1:51.6

and one off-speed model,

...

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