2023 Predictions! Startups, VC, tech, media, stocks, shutdowns, and more! | E1648
This Week in Startups
Jason Calacanis
4.2 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 2 January 2023
⏱️ 59 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Jason and Molly rip through 20+ predictions for 2023, including over/under bets, shutdowns, stocks, main characters, startups, new tech, and SO much more!
(0:00) J+M tee up today's show: 2023 Predictions!
(1:53) Main character of 2023
(4:35) Most anticipated trend
(7:13) Surprising shutdown
(9:40) Biggest bag securer
(13:36) Notion - Sign up for FREE at https://notion.com/jason
(15:06) App/tech breakout
(17:30) Most notable CEO resignation or return
(21:25) Most anticipated technology
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(26:45) Most anticipated media
(29:09) Over/under: 30.5 year sentence for SBF
(30:07) Over/under: 10.5 year sentence for Caroline Ellison
(30:34) Over/under: $750M box office for Oppenheimer
(31:06) Over/under: 21 months left of recession
(31:46) Hottest take for 2023
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(37:26) Will any VCs be charged in a crypto-related crime?
(38:16) Will total capital raised by VCs fall off a cliff?
(43:11) What startup will make the biggest impact?
(45:59) Overrated hot new vertical
(48:43) Will the fundraising landscape get better for startups?
(50:19) Over/under: 3 new impactful social apps
(51:18) Most stock appreciation: $AAPL, $AMZN, $GOOG, $META, $MSFT
(52:59) Most stock appreciation: $ABNB, $SPOT, $UBER
(55:21) Over/under: 177 IPOs
(56:07) When will VR replace the iPhone?
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everybody, we're back. It's January 2nd and this is our prediction show for the year. |
| 0:05.0 | We have so many predictions to get through. I don't want to belabor it here because it's such a |
| 0:09.6 | great show. So yeah, should we just kick this off? We got easy takes. We got tech takes. Let's just |
| 0:15.1 | get right into it. Here's what we think isn't happened this year. It's going to be a great show. |
| 0:20.6 | Stick with us. This week in startups is brought to you by Notion is one place for notes, |
| 0:27.5 | docs, projects, and everyday work that goes way beyond a wiki. Get started for free at Notion.com |
| 0:36.4 | slash Jason. Embrokers startup insurance program help startup secure the most important |
| 0:42.2 | types of insurance at a lower cost and with less hassle. Save up to 20% off of traditional |
| 0:49.2 | insurance today at Embroker.com slash twist. While you're there, get an extra 10% off using |
| 0:57.1 | offer code twist and FitBod. Tired of doing the same workouts at the gym, FitBod will build you |
| 1:05.3 | personalized workouts that help you progress with every set. Get 25% off your subscription or try |
| 1:13.6 | out the app for free when you sign up now at FitBod.me slash twist. All right everybody, it's our 2023 |
| 1:22.6 | predictions episode. This is where Molly and I will make some predictions about what's going to |
| 1:28.0 | happen this year. Happen everybody. Happy New Year everybody. I got my Martin Ellis. I'm ready to rock. |
| 1:33.6 | All right. Here's some predictions. Do some predictions. Okay. Let's just get right to it. Let's |
| 1:38.8 | do a big preamble here. What's our first category for predictions? All right. So we are taking some of |
| 1:44.1 | the categories from the twisties. If you listen to that episode and bring them over. So for example, |
| 1:49.2 | we gave an award to the main character of 2022 and now we want to look at who do we think |
| 1:55.2 | is going to be a or even the main character of 2023. The person who dominates the conversation in |
| 2:02.7 | the tech world, the tech startups, crypto, whatever that world might be. We have some candidates |
| 2:10.6 | pre-filled, but then we can chat about it. Ideas include Carolyn Ellison, the poison ivy of the |
| 2:16.8 | SBF and FT extra because she's going to probably testify. Again, Sam Bigman freed. We of course have |
... |
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