Welcome to Rates and barrels. It's Monday, February 1st, Derek Van Riper here with

Enosaris, continuing our position preview series.

We move on to third base, which coincidentally was a position in which a star was moved over the weekend.

The move is still not official, but Eno, Nolan Aeronado, appears to be headed to St. Louis for a pretty underwhelming return based on what we know right now.

That, of course, still not totally official, but that sort of leads off the news segment of today's show.

And the first question everybody has is, with Aeronado, how much are we really taking away from his projection with the move

out of Coors Field into a pretty pitcher-friendly environment like Bush Stadium?

Yeah, it's tough because it's also wrapped up in this shoulder injury that he had, you know,

that tanked some of his numbers.

But you don't just take the away numbers, and the reason you don't do that is because

Colorado hitters see vastly different pitch mixes when they're on the road because, you know,

breaking balls don't work in Colorado.

So they see a ton of fastballs at home.

They become fastball-centric.

They swing more on fastballs in the league and they do damage with it at home.

Then they go on the road where the rest of the league has been trending away from the

fastball for a long time, has been training towards the break ball, and they just see a ton of junk.

And you can even see it in Arnado's splits.

The first two days after he leaves, he has like a 700 OPS for his career.

And then the days after that, he climbs up to sort of an

850 type situation and higher. So I personally think he'll hit something like 275 with a 350

OBP and a 500 slugging. It's not vintage Colorado. It's definitely had some Babbap air taken

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