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The John Batchelor Show

2/2: #MrMarket: The bond market respectfully does not agree. Brett Arends, Marketwatch

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 20 September 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

2/2: #MrMarket: The bond market respectfully does not agree. Brett Arends, Marketwatch
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/big-rate-cut-forces-fed-to-contend-with-new-obstacles-0bc63c6a?mod=hp_lead_pos7

1942 NYSE

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batser with my colleague Brett Arrens of Market Watch return on investment.

0:10.0

I call upon Brett when there's been a market crash.

0:12.8

Could be, but this time there's not.

0:15.2

In fact, there's no crash whatsoever except for maybe there's a untoward direction

0:21.2

in the bond market, which is a mystery to me.

0:23.7

However, I do want to know what happens next.

0:26.3

We have a possibility of two more cuts in 2024.

0:31.6

Is that significant, Brett, another quarter point so that we end, another quarter point,

0:36.9

so that we end the year a full basis point down? Is that a positive or is that just direction?

0:44.3

Well it's just direction what I find most interesting about that is that you know

0:49.5

Powell and the the committee are talking about one or two cuts but Wall Street doesn't believe

0:55.8

that Wall Street is already pricing in three 75 basis points, three cuts between

1:02.0

now and the end of the year.

1:04.0

So they're already, Wall Street is already

1:06.0

bullishly betting on further deep cuts

1:10.0

as well as further cuts next year.

1:12.8

So, how I think spent three years

1:17.8

sort of establishing his authority over the bond market

1:20.2

has now let it slip.

1:21.8

China, China is in trouble.

1:24.0

Does that inform Powell is he correcting?

1:26.0

We were also told to look for interest rate cuts in central banks around the world.

...

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