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🗓️ 12 June 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
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0:00.0 | I'm John Batscher, speaking with my colleague, Andrea Stricker. |
0:07.7 | She is the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy's Deputy Director of the Program on Non-Proliferation. |
0:13.7 | What we're looking at is proliferation big time in the Islamic Republic of Iran, |
0:19.0 | under scrutiny for more than two decades, as Andrea and I, |
0:22.7 | were old enough to remember when Iran was first suspect of building a nuclear weapon. |
0:29.0 | So what we have here is evidence, you'd have to say, everything you need but the bomb itself |
0:36.0 | sitting on a shelf in front of you. However, the |
0:38.3 | IEA is not of a mind to wait. They're weighing considerations. What is your recommendation at FD? |
0:45.3 | What should be done? What couldn't work given the level of deception and denial? |
0:51.3 | Thank you for having me, John. The IA Board of Governors will consider this resolution. It should pass, and it will essentially be a censure of Iran's noncompliance with the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. And I think this sets up a possible snapback of UN sanctions against Iran before their expiration in October. |
1:15.1 | And so we recommend that the United States and the E3, either alongside the IEA, they could schedule |
1:23.4 | an emergency board of governors meeting to do so, but they need to trigger the snapback of these |
1:30.1 | sanctions. And basically within 30 days of introducing a resolution at the UN Security Council, |
1:39.9 | there needs to be a vote on whether to continue lifting sanctions against Iran. |
1:54.8 | If one of the permanent members of the UN Security Council, so the U.S., France or UK, veto that resolution, then the sanctions will snap back into place. |
1:56.6 | China and Russia can't stop it. |
2:09.5 | But also a UN Security Council resolution is not a requirement, whether or not there is a resolution after being introduced to the presidency, 30 days snapback will happen automatically. |
2:18.2 | And snapback has always sounded intimidating. What will it change about Iran? Does it embargo their oil? |
2:22.2 | Does it sanction more of the regime leadership? |
2:22.9 | What does it do? |
2:31.0 | So it will restore lifted UN sanctions that require that Iran stop enriching uranium. |
2:33.2 | I think that's one of the most important provisions. |
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