175: Our Lopsided Housing Supply: Why Builders Are Barely Making a Dent w/Mark Zandi

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Education, Investing, News, Business

4.8 • 859 Ratings

🗓️ 4 January 2024

⏱️ 44 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The housing market has two big problems: home prices and a lack of supply. With so few homes on the market, buyers have barely anything to choose from, and sellers remain in control. But how did we get to this point? Back in 2008, there were too many homes on the market, and we all know what happened to home prices. So how did we go from being oversupplied to undersupplied by MILLIONS of housing units so quickly? The answer is pretty simple. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, joins us again to give his take on the 2024 economy, the housing market, home prices, and our massive underbuilding problem. The last time Mark was on the show, he explained the “slowcession” that could have taken place in 2023. Instead, a roaring economy took off with low unemployment, high consumer spending, and real wealth increases for many Americans. But, as we head into 2024, there are still a couple of BIG problems: little-to-no housing supply and a polarizing presidential election of epic proportions. Both of these will have big impacts on the economy, and if you want to know what could be coming next, don’t miss this episode! In This Episode We Cover: The “rip-roaring” labor market and why unemployment has stayed so low Why middle and high-income households are thriving while low-income households are struggling even more The Fed’s recent rate pause and whether it was the right move for them to make The 2024 election and the huge effects it could have on the economy Our lopsided housing supply and why we’ve been building the wrong real estate for too long Marks’ 2024 home price predictions and why weak/flat pricing could be in our future And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Agent BiggerPockets Bootcamps Join BiggerPockets for FREE On The Market Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Hear Our Last Episode with Mark on the US Bank Failures Home Building is Exploding, But Will it Solve Our Inventory Crisis? Connect with Mark: Economic View Mark's X/Twitter Click here to listen to the full episode: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-175 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Hey, everyone. Welcome to On the Market. I'm your host, Dave Meyer. And listen, everyone,
0:12.8	after you hear today's episode, I don't ever want to hear again that data or economics or
0:19.5	finance is not interesting because we have an amazing
0:23.0	conversation and an amazing guest today, Mark Zandi, who is a very well-known American
0:28.9	economist. He's the chief economist of Moody's analytics. And I look forward to talking to Mark
0:34.7	every time we have the great opportunity to have him on the show.
0:38.3	He makes really complicated topics very easy to understand.
0:43.7	And I really love just how humble he is about his remarkable success as an economist.
0:50.5	But he also gives it to you straight.
0:52.5	He tells you which data points are important, which
0:54.9	ones are unreliable, which one should be ignored altogether, and it really helps you cut through
0:59.6	a lot of the clutter and make sense of what's going on in the complicated economy. Today,
1:04.9	we talk a lot about the labor market, and I learned several things that I never knew from Mark.
1:10.4	We also get into immigration,
1:11.7	what happens in the economy in an election year, and we also talk about the housing shortage
1:16.3	and some of Mark's ideas on how we could restore some affordability to the housing market.
1:21.4	So we have a great show for you. And with no further ado, let's bring on Mark Zandi from Moody's
1:26.2	analytics. Want to invest in real estate, but don't have the time or know the best local markets,
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1:35.3	just like you, find turnkey homes across the best U.S. markets. And best of all,
1:40.0	they do all the heavy lifting for you. With over 250 five-star reviews on bigger pockets,
1:44.8	rent-to-retirement experts help you build strategies to retire early through real estate.
	...

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