#167 - Andrew Lilico - Britain Is Poorer Than The Poorest US State
The Peter McCormack Show
Peter McCormack
4.7 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 21 April 2026
⏱️ 75 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Britain is now poorer than the poorest American state and economist Andrew Lilico says a full-blown fiscal crisis is coming within ten years. He explains how Britain broke itself, why the political establishment lost its faith and the £180 billion in spending cuts he believes should be the baseline, not the radical option.
Andrew Lilico is Executive Director of Europe Economics and Chairman of the IEA Shadow Monetary Policy Committee. He is one of Britain's most prominent economists and a regular voice on UK fiscal policy.
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TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - Britain Is Poorer Than We Pretend
00:01:17 - The Coming Fiscal Crisis
00:02:48 - The Three Forms Of A UK Fiscal Crisis
00:05:00 - How Britain Betrayed A Generation
00:09:11 - ONE Oligarchy Or Competing Ones
00:13:06 - The 20-year Loss Of Coherence In British Politics
00:15:00 - Why Politicians No Longer Trust Voters
00:17:56 - When The System Broke
00:19:42 - Short-Termism And The Death Of Economic Justice
00:22:34 - WHO Actually Runs Britain
00:25:00 - Bank Of England Independence And Its Hidden Cost
00:30:00 - Do We Need An Anti-establishment Movement?
00:33:00 - Why Reform Is Diluting Its Own Message
00:40:00 - £180 Billion In Spending Cuts
00:43:13 - The Bank Of England Back Under Political Control
00:44:05 - The "Surrealist Game" Of Inflation Targets
00:50:00 - Is It Really The Voters' Fault?
00:54:00 - What The Polls Are Telling US
00:55:30 - Is There An Optimistic Path Out Of This?
01:03:12 - UK GDP Per Capita Used To Be Higher Than The US
01:05:44 - What Britain Can Learn From Argentina
01:10:35 - What Should An Ordinary Person Do?
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CONNECT WITH ANDREW LILLICO
› Twitter – https://x.com/andrew_lilico
› Website – https://www.telegraph.co.uk/authors/a/ak-ao/andrew-lilico/
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EDITED BY CONOR MCCORMACK
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I don't think that people necessarily have the sense that they should have how much poorer we've got since 2008. |
| 0:08.0 | In the first quarter of 2008, UK GDP per capita was higher than that in the US. |
| 0:12.7 | You might well see. |
| 0:13.7 | The kind of thing that we saw in the 70s, two or three years of 25, 20, 25% inflation. |
| 0:18.6 | We've done all of this stuff to ourselves. |
| 0:20.5 | It's not some natural forces beyond |
| 0:23.7 | anybody's control. Argentina is an interesting illustration that just because you're a rich |
| 0:28.2 | developed country doesn't mean you're entitled to stay a rich developed country. Just because |
| 0:32.6 | you're politically stable doesn't mean you're entitled to stay politically stable. These things have happened before, and they could happen to us. |
| 0:41.1 | Is there an optimistic path out of this? |
| 0:45.9 | Um... |
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| 1:15.1 | Andrew, hi, how are you? |
| 1:16.2 | Not too bad. Thank you. |
| 1:17.5 | You've talked about the economic situation in our country and the boiling frog. |
| 1:22.0 | There's a reckoning coming. |
| 1:25.1 | How severe do you believe things are? |
... |
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