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🗓️ 31 October 2021
⏱️ 107 minutes
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0:00.0 | Yeah, it's been a while since we've done this 15 and 60 we're I think maybe a little earlier than we normally start doing it |
0:08.7 | Because we've only got about a week and a half or so under our belts |
0:12.7 | So we may be a little bit more disjointed here some of these teams will probably have more than we usually would other teams |
0:18.7 | Maybe not as much just because some of them we saw a game and we told you about it in the middle of last week |
0:24.0 | And we haven't seen a full game of them since then |
0:26.3 | So we've got more on some teams than others, but some of the teams that we don't have anything on or I shouldn't say anything |
0:32.4 | But as much on will obviously be catching up on that |
0:36.1 | Throughout the next week or so, so please please don't feel slided generally if it's a team that we don't have as much on |
0:42.2 | It's because we've talked about them pretty extensively during the last week |
0:45.8 | But of course we'll talk a lot about the stats some early season trends as well |
0:51.6 | And before we get started here wonder remind everyone of we're gonna be giving you a number of stats throughout this of just some of the |
0:58.9 | Stats that take longer to stabilize versus ones where you can actually start to discern stuff |
1:05.2 | Christian Arsu had this a couple of years ago |
1:07.8 | So wanted to go through some of the things where you go in order of just how many games it takes for a |
1:13.8 | Sampled a past what is called an R square to 0.5 with teams end-to-season numbers |
1:19.2 | So basically that once you get to this number of games at least 50% of this number is explained by the team's actual |
1:27.2 | Characteristic as opposed to just random chance |
1:29.7 | So the things that stick out the most early on are more play style sorts of things |
1:35.5 | So pace for example, it seems overall pace only takes four games to start to be able to get something significant out of it |
1:42.5 | Same thing with free-through rate. That's five games three point of temperate. That's four games |
1:47.2 | Opponent three point of temperate takes a little bit longer because the offense determines that a little bit more than the defense does and |
1:54.0 | Then in terms of net rating once you get to eight games generally and this will change from team to team |
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