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Dunc'd On Basketball NBA Podcast

15 in 60 (Western Conference 10.31.21)

Dunc'd On Basketball NBA Podcast

Nate Duncan

Sports

4.62.9K Ratings

🗓️ 31 October 2021

⏱️ 107 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Our first look at the Western Conference this season, discussing each team in the West in a loose alphabetical order over almost 2 hours. Timestamps: DAL (6:40), DEN (14:27), GSW and MEM (20:52), HOU (35:40), LAC and POR (43:03), LAL (54:45), MIN (59:26), NOP (1:07:50), SAC (1:17:00), OKC (1:25:56), PHX (1:35:10), SAS (1:40:43), UTA (1:46:18). If you like Dunc’d On, you or someone in your life might like my wife Aislinn’s analytical approach to yoga. Check out her streaming service, Yoga With Aislinn, free for a week. Subscribe to our new weekly mailing list for free bonus content and all the info you need to keep up with the latest from Nate and Danny! With Nate Duncan (@NateDuncanNBA) and Danny Leroux (@DannyLeroux).

Transcript

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0:00.0

Yeah, it's been a while since we've done this 15 and 60 we're I think maybe a little earlier than we normally start doing it

0:08.7

Because we've only got about a week and a half or so under our belts

0:12.7

So we may be a little bit more disjointed here some of these teams will probably have more than we usually would other teams

0:18.7

Maybe not as much just because some of them we saw a game and we told you about it in the middle of last week

0:24.0

And we haven't seen a full game of them since then

0:26.3

So we've got more on some teams than others, but some of the teams that we don't have anything on or I shouldn't say anything

0:32.4

But as much on will obviously be catching up on that

0:36.1

Throughout the next week or so, so please please don't feel slided generally if it's a team that we don't have as much on

0:42.2

It's because we've talked about them pretty extensively during the last week

0:45.8

But of course we'll talk a lot about the stats some early season trends as well

0:51.6

And before we get started here wonder remind everyone of we're gonna be giving you a number of stats throughout this of just some of the

0:58.9

Stats that take longer to stabilize versus ones where you can actually start to discern stuff

1:05.2

Christian Arsu had this a couple of years ago

1:07.8

So wanted to go through some of the things where you go in order of just how many games it takes for a

1:13.8

Sampled a past what is called an R square to 0.5 with teams end-to-season numbers

1:19.2

So basically that once you get to this number of games at least 50% of this number is explained by the team's actual

1:27.2

Characteristic as opposed to just random chance

1:29.7

So the things that stick out the most early on are more play style sorts of things

1:35.5

So pace for example, it seems overall pace only takes four games to start to be able to get something significant out of it

1:42.5

Same thing with free-through rate. That's five games three point of temperate. That's four games

1:47.2

Opponent three point of temperate takes a little bit longer because the offense determines that a little bit more than the defense does and

1:54.0

Then in terms of net rating once you get to eight games generally and this will change from team to team

...

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