I welcome on to an Eastern conference 15 and 60 got a ton of research to get to y'all we're gonna go in largely

alphabetical order but watch a couple of games that when I get to so we'll have those

slightly out of order. Let's get to work here in the Atlanta Hawk. Yeah, let's do it

The hawks are still one game under 500. They were there eight and nine now four and four since last 1560

Barely below water negative 0.4 net rating is 17th in the league and they're a strong sixth and offense

But a disappointing 27th defense which we'll talk about in this section the 538 Raptor model predicts

72% chance that the hawks make the playoffs and 46 wins would put them seventh in the east and

Elo the other model gives the hawks a 67% chance of making it. Yeah, it looks like the hawks are kind of settling in now

Or they had fallen to 4 and 8 after an extremely difficult east coast swing in which they played

Suns warriors and jazz. I think that was three games and four nights and but since they came home

They are four and one and the offense is right where you would want it to be

But their defense has really struggled and so pretty interesting stuff here with them

Defensively about why it's gone wrong. What stands out to you if anything?

Well, so going back to last year

You know one of the things that we noticed because there was a lot of crazy stuff in terms of the the on off with

Capella and a part of that was you know opponent opponent three point shooting was was was un was surprising

We surprisingly low and so you kind of wonder well, where is the equilibrium here?

And there are a couple different ways to evaluate big men impact one of them is shot proportions like where teams shot locations

And then the other one is shot success and Capella is doing one of those things more than the other yeah

The defense is 11.6 points for a hundred possession to worse with Clint Capella on the floor worth noting he plays basically

All of his minutes with tree young who has slightly even worse on off differentials it in terms of the defense

Last year opponent shot a lot worse at the rim with Capella on the floor

...