You're listening to the Option Alpha Podcast from Option Alpha.com where we show you how to make

smarter trades learn how the stock market really works and generate consistent monthly

income. Now your host and head trader at option alpha.com, Kirk depluses.

Hey everyone, this is Kirkier again from option alpha

com working every single day to make this the most popular investing

podcast offered online because it's based on one thing and one thing only and

that's helping you guys make smarter trades.

So again, thank you so much for tuning in today on today's show,

episode number 138.

We are going to be talking about what I believe will honestly be one of our top five episodes that we will ever do on this podcast.

I think the topic of expected probability and this expected probability paradox that many traders are going through right now is one of the most requested,

most asked, biggest support ticket things that we get through the website.

So I wanted to take some time today to really explain

not only what it is, but how it affects traders

and how you might look at things a little bit differently

using a lot of different case studies and some back

testing to kind of prove the point in some data to really solidify what I'm saying because I'm not just

saying stuff that I believe and you know it's a hunch that I, it's stuff that we can prove and we can validate using

data.

So again, I would encourage you to listen to this whole episode, maybe even listen to it multiple times.

If I've sent you this episode through email or on social media or through a message.

It's because I think that this might answer the question that you may have been asking me with

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