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Freakonomics Radio

135. Do Baby Girls Cause Divorce?

Freakonomics Radio

Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher

Documentary, Society & Culture

4.632K Ratings

🗓️ 1 August 2013

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Even American parents have a strong "son preference" -- which means that a newborn daughter can be bad news for a marriage.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

I'm Eric Omoreti and I'm a professor of economics at Berkeley.

0:09.0

Okay, very good. So Enrico, a listener wrote to us with a very, very straightforward question,

0:14.5

which is this, in marriages where a baby boy is born, is there a less chance of the husband

0:21.1

leaving the marriage? So we can get into the details later, but can you, you know, economists

0:26.7

are famous for never giving a yes or no answer to anything. I'm wondering if you can give

0:31.5

us a yes or no answer to that question. Yes, it's an easy answer. And the answer is yes.

0:37.5

Parents who have firstborn girls are significantly more likely to be divorced. And so parents who

0:44.2

have firstborn boys are significantly more likely to stay together.

0:57.9

From WNYC, this is Freakinomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything.

1:04.8

Here's your host, Stephen Duffner.

1:24.4

You just heard Enrico Moretti, an economist at the University of California Berkeley, tell

1:29.1

us a striking fact that parents whose first child is a daughter are significantly more likely

1:35.4

to be divorced than if they'd had a son. Now, how does Mereddy know this? He wrote a research

1:41.6

paper along with the economist Gordon Dahl called the Demand for Sons. They analyzed US census

1:48.3

data from 1960 to 2000, along with other data, to measure the effect of a firstborn child's

1:55.0

gender and marital stability. We find that fathers are significantly less likely to be living

2:04.0

with their children if they have daughters versus son. This overall effect is fairly large.

2:10.3

It's about 3.1% lower probability of a father for families with a girl. And can you put

2:18.2

that into numbers of families or daughters for me then? Yes, we estimate that over a 10-year

2:24.5

period that accounts for about 50,000 firstborn daughters who are living without their father.

2:31.6

Wow. So Enrico, you're saying that there is a significant, not huge, but significant

2:36.2

effect on marriage that a firstborn daughter will have. That a firstborn daughter will

...

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