This is the Lay-Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zacharyse.

What's up everyone, it's JJ Zacharyse in the editor-in-chief over at numberfire.com,

and this is episode 131 of the Late Round Podcast, one of the many shows that are part

of the number fire podcast network.

Thanks for tuning in.

The easiest way to explain regression in sports is to think about your own golf game.

I'm someone who shoots in the low 90s, I'm not that good, but I'm not horrible either.

I'll break 90 every once in a while and I'll be super pumped when I do it.

But then the next time I'm on the course, I'm back in that 92 or 93 range.

That round where I posted in 88 is really just variance.

Maybe on that day I had a couple of drives that hit a hill right, and it just didn't roll

into the water.

Maybe I got lucky and I avoided sand traps.

Or maybe I was just in the zone mentally because I drank the perfect number of beers.

However the case is, the reason things moved back into the low 90s range is because I didn't

do anything different or special.

I just played golf as I always do, and I just so happened to shave five strokes off my

score.

The next time out I regressed, or returned to a former state.

Now had I bought new clubs or practiced my form, maybe that would change things.

Maybe I could then improve my score consistently.

But without big changes, if I shoot in the 80s, my expectation doesn't become that I'm

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