129: Insights From Building Projections
The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast
iHeartPodcasts
4.8 • 3.2K Ratings
🗓️ 15 May 2018
⏱️ 15 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Lay-Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zacharyse. |
| 0:12.0 | What's up everyone, it's JJ Zacharyse and the editor-in-chief over at numberfire.com |
| 0:17.1 | and this is episode 129 of the Lay-Round Podcast. |
| 0:20.6 | One of the many shows that are part of the number fire podcast network, thanks for tuning |
| 0:24.3 | in. |
| 0:25.3 | You guys generally know my stance on rankings and projections at this point. |
| 0:29.1 | It's not that I hate them, I just think the fantasy football world often gets too tied |
| 0:33.7 | to them. |
| 0:34.7 | People rely too heavily on them. |
| 0:36.7 | For a game with a decent amount of variance and unpredictability, being locked into the |
| 0:40.8 | way players are ranked can often get you in a trouble. |
| 0:43.8 | You're not able to embrace and understand variance as well. |
| 0:47.3 | Now as an analyst, I still do projections each year. |
| 0:50.5 | I go through the process of building the mount after the NFL draft each season and I |
| 0:54.6 | get some end result, a fantasy point output for each relevant player. |
| 0:59.4 | But to be real with you guys, I'm not doing this so that I can have a simplistic rankings |
| 1:03.8 | list to take to each of my fantasy football drafts. |
| 1:06.5 | I'm not creating projections to make my draft experience that basic because I don't think |
| 1:11.4 | fantasy football is that basic. |
| 1:13.5 | Or at least, I think there are a lot of small edges that you can find in order to optimize |
| 1:17.9 | your chance of winning in fantasy football. |
| 1:20.4 | Really, I just create projections to learn. |
... |
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