4.9 • 8.6K Ratings
🗓️ 31 May 2022
⏱️ 88 minutes
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0:00.0 | When I was in college, I had some interests, and among them were gambling and programming. |
0:04.8 | Specifically, I liked crafts, where you throw the dice and the pearl programming language. |
0:09.8 | Now, the thing about crafts is that there are so many different kinds of bets you can do. |
0:13.6 | It's a little dizzying how much there is, so I decided to make a little program that rolls the dice |
0:18.4 | thousands and millions of times to try to simulate the game to find an effective betting strategy. |
0:25.3 | First, I tried the typical betting strategy, putting money on the pass line, placing odds, |
0:29.5 | and then rolling the dice. After 100,000 rolls, the game showed that I had a massive amount of debt. |
0:36.1 | Definitely not a good strategy for the long run. So then I tried placing money right on numbers, |
0:41.4 | betting on the come line, the field, all the things. None had a positive result. All put me in debt, |
0:47.9 | which is expected, right? The house always wins. The game is designed that way. There's no way around it. |
0:53.9 | But maybe there was. I mean, the game of craps was invented in the 1700s, and they didn't have a |
0:58.8 | computer to simulate all the possible betting variations to see if one would work, right? So perhaps |
1:04.4 | my little program could discover some surefire betting strategy. One with a player always wins |
1:11.1 | in the long run. So I kept trying night after night, running new betting simulations and algorithms, |
1:17.7 | and trying to find something. And eventually I tried playing around with buy bets. |
1:23.2 | Buying the two or ten will result in double your money if it hits. And I ran this simulation 100,000 times. |
1:29.6 | And guess what? The program showed I'd made a positive amount of money. What? I ran it again. |
1:37.1 | And again, and it showed the betting strategy was working. This was a surefire way to make money in |
1:42.8 | craps in the long term. So I immediately went online, and I found an online casino, and I opened an |
1:48.5 | account and began betting this strategy. But it wasn't winning. I was losing money. And I noticed |
1:55.0 | something. I forgot to calculate the big. When you placed this bed, the house charges you 5% to buy it. |
2:01.8 | I didn't know that. So my program was wrong and gave me wrong results. But this made me think, |
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