11/5/24: Election Day 2024, the last show before an unknown future

The David Pakman Show

David Pakman

News, Politics

4.8 • 6.2K Ratings

🗓️ 5 November 2024

⏱️ 63 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

-- On the Show: -- The final update on polling, betting markets and election forecasts for Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris, the Senate, and the House of Representatives on Election Day -- Kamala Harris clarifies at one of her final rallies that, unlike Trump, she will not seek revenge on her political opponents -- Kamala Harris' historic final rally of the campaign in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania -- Donald Trump's final rallies have a noticeable lack of crowds -- Donald Trump critically malfunctions at his final rally of 2024 in Grand Rapids, Michigan -- A look at what will hopefully be the final 100 seconds of Donald Trump's political career -- Elon Musk issues a deranged final election warning to Joe Rogan, who endorses Trump -- A soaking wet Donald Trump fantasizes about violence against women during a rally in Reading, Pennsylvania -- With an absolute lack of energy, Donald Trump delivers a sick rally speech in Raleigh, North Carolina -- A feeble and confused Donald Trump gets states and candidates wrong, talking about Pennsylvania Senate candidate David McCormick to an audience in North Carolina -- JD Vance's closing message to voters at a rally in Atlanta, Georgia is that Kamala Harris is "trash" -- Tucker Carlson appears to have lost his mind, claiming that abortion causes hurricanes and restating his ridiculous story that he was "mauled by a demon" while sleeping in his bed -- On the Bonus Show: Final election predictions, producer Pat's map, timing expectations for election results, and much more... 🍽️ CookUnity: Get 50% OFF your 1st week with code PAKMAN at https://cookunity.com/pakman 🧔‍♂️ Integrated Men: Watch David's interview with their founder at https://integratedmen.net/pakman 📰 Subscribe to The Washington Post for just $0.50/week at https://washingtonpost.com/pakman 😁 Zippix Toothpicks: Code PAKMAN10 saves you 10% at https://zippixtoothpicks.com ☕ Beam melatonin hot cocoa: Use code PAKMAN for up to 50% OFF at https://shopbeam.com/pakman 💪 AG1 is offering FREE GIFT and FREE year-supply of Vitamin D at https://athleticgreens.com/pakman ⚠️ Ground News: Get 40% OFF their unlimited access Vantage plan at https://ground.news/pakman -- Become a Member: https://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/davidpakmanshow -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow -- Pakman Discord: https://www.davidpakman.com/discord -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave a Voicemail: (219)-2DAVIDP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Well, my friends, we made it to election day.
0:11.0	It is not going to be much longer until we know which of two starkly different paths
0:17.3	does this country take.
0:19.6	I want to do a final review of polling and projections. I've held
0:23.9	off. I got the message in the last couple of weeks. You don't want to hear about any polling
0:28.8	unless it's good for Kamala Harris. I'm sort of simplifying and exaggerating, but we have backed
0:35.1	off of the polling and betting markets significantly for weeks now, but we
0:38.5	are going to do a final review, see where we are, see Kamala Harris's final rally, see Donald
0:43.5	Trump's final rally and the final and last minute cases that have been made by the candidates
0:50.4	as to why the American people should vote for them.
0:53.2	Let's start with presidential.
0:55.0	Where the 538 projection is landing is essentially a coin flip. 538 has locked and frozen. Is that your
1:05.4	final answer? Yes. Lock it in with a 50 essentially a 50 50 race.
1:11.6	A 538's final projection.
1:14.5	There is a 50% chance that Kamala Harris wins, a 49% chance that Trump wins and a slightly
1:22.6	less than 1% chance that we end with a 269 to 269 tie in the electoral college.
1:32.0	Make of that what you will.
1:33.9	In the real clear politics battleground average, this is a real clear politics doesn't
1:39.8	have like a more overall kind of forecast, but it'll come down to the swing states.
1:46.0	And on that basis, the real clear politics battleground state polling averages have
1:53.0	Kamala Harris winning Wisconsin and Virginia and Trump winning the other battleground states,
1:59.8	Arizona to Trump, Nevada to Trump, Pennsylvania,
	...

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