11/2/22: Dem Polling Collapses As Obama Hits Campaign Trail

The David Pakman Show

David Pakman

News, Politics

4.8 • 6.2K Ratings

🗓️ 2 November 2022

⏱️ 62 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

-- On the Show: -- In a stunning continued polling decline, Democrats are no longer favored to maintain control of the Senate in the imminent 2022 midterm elections -- A judge orders armed Arizona poll watchers to stand at least 250 feet away from the dropboxes -- Supreme Court temporarily blocks the release of Donald Trump's taxes to the House of Representatives committee investigating him -- Donald Trump appears on The Chris Stigall Podcast and utters complete nonsense about Paul Pelosi and Kanye West -- Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker is accused of giving an ex-girlfriend an abortion ultimatum, and said that the girlfriend and potential child would "not be safe" -- A supporter of Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker writes off his multiple paid abortions as a youthful indiscretion despite Walker being 50 years old at the time -- Former President Barack Obama campaigns in Nevada for Catherine Cortez Mastro and clearly explains the risk of violent Republican rhetoric -- MyPillow founder and CEO Mike Lindell is back on television with arguably his most unhinged rant yet -- Voicemail caller does not like or agree with David's commentary about the overlap between Kanye West's mental illness and his antisemitism -- On the Bonus Show: Brazil's Bolsonaro signals cooperation with power transfer but doesn't concede, Shanghai Disneyland visitors locked in park for hours, Democratic candidate knocked unconscious at home, much more... 🍸 Shaker & Spoon: $20 OFF with code PAKMAN at https://thld.co/shakerandspoon_pakman_1122 💪 Athletic Greens is offering FREE year-supply of Vitamin D at https://athleticgreens.com/pakman 👍 Munk Pack: Code PAKMAN saves you 20% at https://thld.co/munkpack_pakman_1022 💻 Stay protected! Try Aura FREE for 2 weeks: https://aura.com/pakman -- Become a Supporter: http://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/thedavidpakmanshow -- Subscribe to Pakman Live: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanlive -- Subscribe to Pakman Finance: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanfinance -- Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/davidpakmanshow -- Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave us a message at The David Pakman Show Voicemail Line (219)-2DAVIDP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	Well, ladies and gentlemen, if the polls are to be believed, the Democratic Party may
0:22.0	be in the middle of a disastrous collapse, where for the first time in a very, very long time,
0:30.5	the 538 Senate forecast, not the House, the Senate forecast has by a very small margin,
0:39.4	Republicans now favored to take the Senate. As you might remember, for a very long time,
0:46.1	for months, it looked like two to one, even three to one odds that Democrats would keep the Senate,
0:53.7	but probably lose the House. Things have shifted and shifted and shifted to the point where now,
1:01.3	if we are to believe the polling and we will look at that in more detail. The most likely scenario
1:07.1	is Republicans definitely take the House and maybe even take the Senate by a 52 to 48 margin,
1:17.7	Republicans now very slightly favored to take the Senate. It's basically a dead heat,
1:24.0	but a far cry from the 70 plus percent odds that Democrats had to keep the Senate just some months
1:32.4	ago. If we look at the 538 forecast of how the odds have changed, you will see that yes, back in late
1:40.3	July, it was basically 50, 50 and then Democrats building, building, building a lead all the way up
1:48.9	to about a 71 percent chance of take of holding the Senate in mid to late September and a collapse
1:56.4	to where now it is Republicans favored to take the Senate. Over in the House, the numbers even more
2:04.5	dismal for Democrats now and 84 percent chance that Republicans will win the House. If we look at how
2:13.4	those numbers have changed over time, you similarly see that it was getting closer there for a period
2:20.8	in early October, still roughly a two to one margin for Republicans, but now just completely
2:27.9	out of reach 84 percent chance, 84 percent chance for Republicans of taking the House.
2:36.4	One question that many of you have asked you came to me, some of you with tears in your eyes and
2:41.4	said, sir, can we trust the polling? It is absolutely the case that when you look at a lot of the
2:48.0	generic ballots, which aren't looking at individual races, but they, these are generic
2:53.8	Republican or Democratic support in, for example, the House vote. It is true that there are
	...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Previous episode | Next episode

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from David Pakman, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of David Pakman and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.