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Public Health On Call

1051 - The Fate of Foreign Aid in 2026

Public Health On Call

The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

News, Health & Fitness, Medicine

4.6 • 644 Ratings

🗓️ 14 May 2026

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

About this episode:

A recent study by the Rockefeller Foundation and ISGlobal estimates that cuts made to foreign aid last year could result in 23 million more deaths globally by 2030. In this episode: how researchers calculated this figure, why funding has slowed, and what global development leaders are trying to do about it.

Guest:

Eric Pelofsky, JD, MPP, is the vice president of international policy at the Rockefeller Foundation.

Host:

Stephanie Desmon, MA, is a former journalist, author, and the director of public relations and communications for the Johns Hopkins Center for Communication Programs.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Public Health On Call, a podcast from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

0:05.9

where we bring evidence, experience, and perspective to make sense of today's leading health challenges.

0:16.3

If you have questions or ideas for us, please send an email to public health question at jhh.edu.

0:23.8

That's public health question at jh.u.edu for future podcast episodes.

0:30.6

Hey listeners, it's Lindsay Smith Rogers.

0:33.2

Today, foreign aid cuts and new estimations of the impact of those.

0:38.5

A new analysis in the Lancet Global Health estimates that up to 22.6 million additional deaths could occur by 2030, including more than 5 million children.

0:50.5

Stephanie Desmond is joined by Eric Polofsky of the Rockefeller Foundation to talk about what's driving these projections and what they could mean for health systems and communities. Let's listen.

1:01.2

Eric Polofsky, thanks so much for joining me.

1:03.7

Happy to be here.

1:04.7

I wanted to talk today about a recent study, an analysis in the Atlantic Global Health that estimated that reductions in foreign

1:12.8

aid could lead to as many as 22.6 million additional deaths by 2030 across 93 countries.

1:19.0

More than 5 million of those could be children. Could you talk us through how the researchers

1:24.3

made that connection between funding and lives lost?

1:27.3

Sure. And again, thanks for having me. The IS Global Data is how the researchers made that connection between funding and lives lost?

1:34.9

Sure. And again, thanks for having me. The IS Global Data is really startling, and they started with a study at the end of last year as some of these cuts were becoming realities as opposed to

1:40.0

threats and did some retrospective analysis and tried to project it forward. And we were obviously

1:47.7

intrigued, given all of the work that we do in this area and also Rockefeller's conviction that

1:53.6

you have to be data driven. And so asked them to continue the work and use some projections

2:00.1

forward that were sort of the continued

2:03.4

cuts and sort of deeper cuts. And so they did this much larger, more detailed forecast of the

2:11.0

implications and came up with, as you said, 22.6 million additional deaths as a result of dramatic cuts. And I think it's somewhere in the

...

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