The Super Bowl matchup is officially set, which means that the betting market is now open.

However, most people are taking the wrong plays for the Super Bowl, and you should take the seven that we're going to discuss in this video instead. And let's first start with one of my favorite plays for the Super Bowl that I've currently seen, and it has to do with the Patriots quarterback Drake May. Now, before we get into the specific prop that's in the market for Drake May, of course, There's a ton of props out there.

I want to talk about how he's been playing so far in the postseason.

Because for the most... Now, before we get into the specific prop that's in the market for Drake May, of course, there's a ton of props out there.

I want to talk about how he's been playing so far in the postseason. Because for the most part, it hasn't been good. What you're seeing on the screen right now is a list based on how efficient quarterbacks have been in the postseason. Sam Donald's number one, Jordan Love was number two. You keep scrolling down. There's 15 total quarterbacks that have played in the postseason and are qualified to make this list.

Drake May is number 11 out of 15 in terms of quarterback passing efficiency. Now he's had very tough matchups. He had to take on the Texans defense, a Broncos defense, play in a terrible snowstorm. Like it hasn't been the best situation. So we factor that all in, but so does some of these efficiency metrics.

EPA per play, you don't have to worry about all the algorithms that go into it.

Basically, he hasn't been a good passer when you factor in everything.

The weather, the matchups, all that.

But there is one area in the playoffs and really all year where Drake May has been fantastic.

He currently ranks number two amongst all players, 64 qualified players in rushing

efficiency. That factors in every quarterback, every running back, even to wide receivers

who are getting a couple of endergrounds. Drake May, the second most efficient rusher, only

behind Josh Allen in the postseason. Now, we know this guy is a good runner. That's why he was

a big fantasy commodity this year, MVP candidate, likely MVP winner. He was number two in scrambles per game amongst quarterbacks. He was almost scrambling four times per game. So that doesn't even factor in him getting one or two design runs per game, potential QB sneaks. This guy was taking off and running. That's good to know. Because he's going to be coming into this game against a very good and elite Seattle defense as a four and a half point underdog. The Patriots enter in the Super Bowl as three and a half point underdogs. He's now a four and a half point underdog. And that is very important because if they want to pull off the upset here, right? Their underdogs, they want to pull off the upset, they're probably going to have to get some plays from Drake May with his legs. And that's why the first play I want to share with you today is Drake May's rushing yards. I like taking him for more than 36.5. We got it at 32 and a half when it opened. I still like the 36 and a half number right here. He's been too efficient with his legs. I assume he's going to take off probably four, five, maybe six times in this game, not even factoring in if he gets any cheap, cuby sneak yardage. All right, now let's go to Drake May's number one wide receiver, Stefan Diggs, who despite being now 32 years old coming off of a torn ACL, has had a relatively strong season for the Patriots. He's been their clear number one receiver. He's had multiple massive big games this year, and now he's going to probably be the number one target in the biggest game of the year, the Super Bowl. Okay. Well, Stefan Diggs for the second straight week has a line set at three and a half receptions. This is what his line was last week against Denver. He ended up having five catches. He only had 17 yards, but he had five short receptions despite the bad weather. Now, the very important thing this week is he has a tough matchup. The Seattle Seahawks obviously are a very good defense. When you look at it, according to PFF, factoring in the regular season and postseason, the Seahawks have the number two secondary in the NFL only behind Stefan Diggs' own team, the Patriots. So the two top secondaries, according to PFF, are competing in the Super Bowl. So this is a very difficult matchup. Now, Stefan Diggs, the good news for him is he's still been very involved in the postseason. Matchup against the charges where his team only scores 16 points, five targets. Past two weeks, he's had over three and a half receptions as well against tough matchups like the Denver Broncos in a bad weather game and the Houston Texans also a top five second. But the thing we have to point out for Stefan Diggs against the Seahawks is specifically how he's going to fare against this coverage. Now what I mean by that is the Seahawks, as you could see right here, according to Fantasy Points database, they rank fifth in the NFL in the percentage of time they play zone coverage this year. Right here in the blue, you can see 77% of the time the Seattle Seahawks are playing zone coverage. Top five in the NFL, and that's very important because Stefan Diggs has been one of the best wide receivers, despite being 32 and quote unquote washed up or whatever you want to say, one of the best wide receivers still against zone. He's that crafty, he's that intelligent. Just how good has Stefan Diggs been? Well, this is a list

of wide receivers against zone coverage this year. Their yards per route run, their efficiency, how good they are at playing and getting open against zone. Number one, Pukua, number one, J.S.N. No shockers there. You keep scrolling. You'll see guys like Christian Watson, Jalen Wattle, Amon Ratt, St. Brown. Number 11, Stefan Diggs, right next to Jamar Chase, ahead of guys like Devante Adams,

Zay, Fowlerf, D. Brown. Number 11, Stefan Diggs, right next to Jamar Chase,

ahead of guys like Devante Adams, A Flowers, D.K. Meccafameca, Abuka, Cidi Lamb,

Nico Collins, George Pickens. I can keep going. That's how good Stefan Diggs has been

against zone coverage this year. Expect him to find the openings in the middle of the field

out of the slot in this game. So because of that, I'm going to go ahead and with the second pick on this entry, we're going to talk about seven overall. You can see I'm

going to add Stefan Diggs for more than three and a half catches. Now, we're going to build two entries in this video. The first one's going to be a four pick, a power play, a parlay, and the second one's going to be a three pick. So we'll go through those and we'll show you them. So this first one right now,

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