10 Of The Last 11 Recessions Started Exactly Like This — Here's What The Smart Money Is Doing While You Panic | Tom's Deepdive

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory

Impact Theory

Business, News Commentary, News

4.7 • 5.2K Ratings

🗓️ 7 April 2026

⏱️ 37 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Welcome back to Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. In today's episode, we're diving deep into the forces driving market volatility and uncovering the little-known factors that could make or break your retirement savings. As oil prices surge and Middle Eastern tensions disrupt global energy supply, [Speaker A] reveals how these events are sending shockwaves through your portfolio and putting the Federal Reserve—the most powerful economic institution on the planet—in a nearly inescapable trap. We'll walk you through the mechanics behind market swings, showing you why dramatic moves aren't random and how history's greatest wealth transfers happen during moments of panic. From analyzing 100 years of market data to breaking down the behavioral psychology that derails emotional investors, this episode gives you a clear, actionable roadmap to riding out the storm—and coming out ahead. So, if you've been watching the headlines with growing anxiety, stick around. By the end of this episode, you'll understand how generational wealth is built in the chaos—and exactly what you should do next. Ketone IQ: Visit https://ketone.com/IMPACT for 30% OFF your subscription orderSumm: code TOMVIP20 for 20% off your first year at https://summ.com?via=tombilyeu&coupon=TOMVIP20Monetary Metals: Future-proof your wealth at https://monetarymetals.com/impactAquaTru: 20% off your purifier with code IMPACT https://aquatru.comDuck.Ai: Protect your privacy at https://duck.ai/impactBlinkist: Start your free trial at https://blinkist.com/impactQuince: Free shipping and 365-day returns at https://quince.com/impactpodAT&T Business: Switch to AT&T Business at business.att.comIncogni: Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code IMPACT at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/impactShopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impact What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: If you want my help... STARTING a business: join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER: https://tombilyeu.com/zero-to-founder?utm_campaign=Podcast%20Offer&utm_source=podca[%E2%80%A6]d%20end%20of%20show&utm_content=podcast%20ad%20end%20of%20show SCALING a business: see if you qualify here.: https://tombilyeu.com/call Get my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox: sign up here.: https://tombilyeu.com/ ********************************************************************** If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast, Tom Bilyeu’s Mindset Playbook —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you. ********************************************************************** FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Jamie Lang and Sophie Haboo have arrived on Disney Plus.
0:04.0	We're having a baby.
0:06.0	We're having a baby.
0:07.0	I've always wanted to be mom.
0:09.0	And we're bringing you on our journey through everything.
0:12.0	I have no idea what we're doing.
0:13.0	Thank you. I have more of an idea.
0:15.0	I think of it like a Tamagocchi.
0:17.0	At the end of all of this...
0:20.0	We're going to have a little baby. Raising Chelsea, a Hulu
0:23.7	original series streaming exclusively on Disney Plus. 18 plus subscription required T's and T supply.
0:30.1	Oil prices have a much bigger impact on your retirement savings than you might think. And a lot of
0:36.1	people are learning the hard way. The volatility in the Middle East means volatility in your portfolio.
0:41.3	The last time a Middle Eastern conflict triggered an oil shock of the magnitude that we're seeing now,
0:47.3	which was the Arab embargo of 1973, oil quadrupled in price.
0:52.3	The S&P 500 fell 48%, and the recession that followed
0:57.0	lasted an entire 16 months. Since February 28th of this year, Brent crude is already up a staggering
1:04.0	40%. The IEA has called this the largest oil supply disruption in the history of global energy markets,
1:13.0	and the S&P is already down roughly 9% year-to-date, with the NASDAQ down 6% in a quarter.
1:20.2	And where it goes from here is anybody's guess. But there is a phenomenon at the heart
1:25.1	of what's happening in the markets right now that is transferring
1:28.4	trillions of dollars from the people that don't understand it to the people who do. And my
	...

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