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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

10 NFL Bets You Must Take For Wild Card Weekend (Before It's Too late)

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Fantasy Sports, Sports

5.0784 Ratings

🗓️ 7 January 2026

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Get your free $50 Bet here: https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/SAL2310 NFL Bets You Must Take For Wild Card Weekend (Before It's Too late)(Data source credits: Fantasy Life - Player Profiler - PFF)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Most people are betting the NFL playoffs and Wildcard Weekend completely wrong, but you don't have to. Instead, you can take the 10 bets that we're going to talk about in this video. Now, the first bet has to do with the name that you definitely know if you watch football at all. Pooka Nakua probably is the best wide receiver in the NFL for two straight years now. And the bet that I want to talk about for Pooka Nakua has to do with him either scoring a touchdown or not scoring a touchdown this week. Now, here's the thing. He's been on an absolute tear lately since Devante Adams has been out. In fact, over the last four games, he scored five touchdowns. And if you look at his production, this is according to Player Profiler Game Log, so let's just go down here. If you look at his production over his last month of the season

0:37.8

without devante adams 167 yards 181 25 and then 47 in a week 18 game that was largely meaningless

0:46.1

where he didn't really put up that much overall in terms of like snaps especially into the

0:50.2

second half and the fourth quarter but you're getting a ton of targets in these games. 11, 11, 16, 10, red zone targets and all of them. So obviously, I don't have to tell you Pukunakua is great, but he's coming into the postseason in really good form. And not only that, the reports right now are that Devonday Adams, his biggest target competition, especially in the red zone with a hamstring injury who's missed a past month, is expected to be available for Wild Card Weekend. Now, I don't know about you, but if the report says expected to be available, that doesn't really give me a lot of confidence that he's going to play a full complement of snaps or be out there for like his 100% usual role. And if that's the case, whether Devante Adams is playing less snaps because he's still banged up or he's just not going at 100% because he's not healthy, well, obviously that helps Pooka Nacoa. It's also worth noting that the Rams are by far the biggest favorites. They're the first game of the week against the Carolina Panthers. They're expected to win on the road. Despite being on the road, they're 10 point favorites. So they're expected to put up points in this one. They're expected to score around 25 points or so, and if that's the case, they're going to score about four touchdowns.

1:47.3

My money's on Pooka and Kua to have at least one of those. So the first play that I'm going to recommend to all of you beautiful people is to take Pukkah for more than a half a touchdown scored on Saturday afternoon's game against the Carolina Panthers. Okay, so there's one. Let's get into the second one now. I want to talk about Jacobi Myers, the former Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver, who midseason was traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars, and once he was traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars, well, a lot changed. Now specifically, I want to talk about Jacobi Myers, who has a current prop right now in the betting markets of over under four and a half receptions. Do we want the over, do we want the under let's break it down now for starters since jacobie meyers became a jacksonville jaguars full-time player we're looking at this right here according to the road of his game splits tool on the left is his last seven games during that span he's averaged 4.86 let's call it 4.9 catches per game okay so that's obviously over his current prop total of four and a half for this week, but it actually gets even better for Myers.

2:38.3

Because the Jaguars are playing in maybe the best game of the weekend on paper, they're going to be at home. And believe it or not, they're one and a half point underdogs against the Buffalo Bills this week. Now, historically, when you're an underdog at home, especially if you have a quality team like the Jaguars, obviously a playoff team under Liam Combe, Trevor Lawrence playing the best football of his entire career. Historically, if you're that home underdog in that spot with a good quarterback, you usually see better offensive production, a friendly environment, crowd noise isn't a factor, you're in a better spot at home, all this stuff factors in. And since their underdogs at home you could expect trevor lawrence to throw a little bit more than usual and that helps meyers who since week 12 is leading this team with a 24% target share yes we've seen some big weeks out of parker washington and some flash performances from a breton strange the tight end and brian thomas here and there but consistently in the zone on third downs, the most reliable receiver for Trevor Lawrence on this team that he trusts in those high leverage situations has been Jacobi Myers since they acquired it. So the second play and bet that we are going to talk about here is taking Jacobi Myers against the Buffalo Bills to have more than four and a half receptions. Now we're building an entry here. We're going to build a couple of entries throughout this show. The first one has five plays in it. I'll show you the entire

3:44.9

entry once we get through all five. So without further ado, we've talked about two. Now let's get into number three. And it has to do with the Packers quarterback Jordan Love, who did not play in week 18. He did not play in week 17 or he left the game early. He's been very banged up as of late,

3:57.2

but he's reportedly healthy heading into this wildcard weekend game against division rivals, the Chicago Bears, who he will now face for the third time this season. Now, it's very important because for this game, now for this matchup, Jordan Love is going to face the Chicago Bears secondary. That is not great, although they are getting healthier the second half of the season. they still rank 21st overall in coverage grades according to PFF. But even if you don't really like PFF all that much, they're a bottom half of the league secondary on paper right now. And in general, heading into this game, the Packers opened up as slight underdogs. They're like one point underdogs. It's kind of a coin flip. But in these closer game situations, Jordan Love is averaging over 250 total yards

4:32.1

per game, and that's very important because so far this week, he has a line in the prop market

4:36.1

at 236.5 total yards. That's his rushing and passing. And he gets to take on this Chicago team that

4:41.9

currently allows the fifth most passing yards per play, 6.8 passing yards per play, but not only that,

4:47.4

they're allowing the fourth most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks. This is one of the best matchups a quarterback can find in terms of just playing in a game trying to get totally yardage. And we've already seen Jordan Love have success against this Bears team one healthy earlier this season. Now he's going to get to do it on the biggest stage in the postseason. So when we factor in the matchup, when we factor in the situation of it being a close game, these teams have a lot of familiarity with each other. Jordan Love has seen this defense twice already this year. We're going to take Jordan Love for more than 237 and a half passing plus rushing yards. That is his total yardage. Now on the other side of this game, I want to talk about the rookie running back Kyle Monungi, the seventh round rookie running back, especially based on the fact, if you just look at everything expectation-wise, right, he's a seventh round running back. Not a lot of expectations. On a team that had DeAndre Swift, Roshan Johnson veterans ahead of him this season, Kyle Monongai's had a fantastic year by all accounts. But lately, he hasn't been as involved as the games have gotten more important to close out the season. In fact, over the Bears' last three games, Manungai is only averaging about seven carries, seven and a half carries per game. And his previous 14, he was averaging about 10 and a half. And when you factor out the first couple of weeks of the season when he was not involved, again, his first ever games as a seventh round rookie running back but ungui was seeing consistently like 13 14 carries per game and now all of a sudden in the most important games at the end of the year he's only seeing seven to eight carries a game i believe this is a conscious change by the coaching staff the andre swift has been playing very good ball the andrew swift has been protecting the football he's been a reliable veteran and i think this is only going to continue into the postseason. That doesn't mean common ungui is just going to be

6:14.4

benched and not play. I think it's going to mean that common ungui is probably going to be held somewhere between 7, 8, 9, maybe 10 carries at most in this game. And if that's the case, well, his current line of 46 and a half rushing yards this is bounced around I got it at 44

6:28.1

I've seen it as high as 48 but 46 and a half rushing yards, this is bounced around. I got it at 44.

6:28.2

I've seen it as high as 48, but 46 and a half rushing yards feels a little bit high.

6:32.3

Sure.

6:32.5

Could Kyle Menongai go out there and have a 20 or 25 yard carry and just just blow this out of the water on 7 to 8 carries?

6:39.2

Yeah, but you could say that basically about any player prop for a running back on the entire board.

6:43.3

All right, so we've talked about four player props so far. I said our first entry has five players in it. So let's finish it up with this next player. And that's going to be the Eagles quarterback Jalen Hertz. And this one is rather straightforward. Jalen Hertz this week is going to take on if we pull this up here on draft Kings. Let's pull it up here. We'll refresh the stat lines. He's going to on Sunday take on maybe the best NFC game of the entire weekend, arguably the best game of the weekend right there with Bill's Jags. The at home he's going to face the San Francisco 49ers. Four and a half point favorite. This game opened as a three point spread. So the books are expecting this to be a relatively close game, definitely a one score game, a game in which maybe even the eagles for part of it are trailing now the reason why that is important because jalen hertz has played in plenty of games this year where the Eagles have played with a big lead and he didn't have to throw the ball but when the games are close within about five points or so the spread hurts is averaging over 31 pass attempts per game and that's very important because this week his line his line is currently set at 29 and a half pass attempts. We've taken the over, and that sums up our first entry here. Let me show you at $100 I put on this to win 2000. We have the Puka play, the Jalen Hertz play, the Jalen Hertz play we just talked about, over 29 and a half pass attempts, the Jacoby Myers' receptions play, and the common unguy less than his rushing yards. Now I took this over on prize picks, a proud sponsor of ours for, I don't know, five years

7:54.1

at this point.

7:54.7

We've been using price picks.

7:56.1

And if you want to, they'll give you a free $50 to play with when you scan the QR code on the screen. You just join. You play $5. all I have to do is play a $5 entry and they'll give you $50 in credits to play with.

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