10/18/22: GOP Surging, Stacey Abrams Hit with "Angry Black Woman"

The David Pakman Show

David Pakman

News, Politics

4.8 • 6.2K Ratings

🗓️ 18 October 2022

⏱️ 62 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

-- On the Show: -- Melissa Jo Peltier, award-winning filmmaker, joins David to discuss her newest film, "The Game Is Up: Disillusioned Trump Voters Tell Their Stories." -- Republicans are now surging against Democrats in both the Senate and House 2022 races, according to the latest polling -- The Department of Justice is asking for six months in jail plus a $200,000 fine for former Trump adviser Steven Bannon -- Despite their claims about what the left is doing, it is actually the American right wing that is overtly trying to indoctrinate children -- Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker delivers an unintelligible explanation of why he have the mother of his eventual child a check for $700 -- Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker continues to lie about his bogus police badge -- Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker finds a "police officer" who defends his fake badge in the most bizarre way possible -- Republican Governor of Georgia Brian Kemp hits Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams with the "angry black woman" trope during their recent debate -- Donald Trump hotels reportedly charged Secret Service five times the standard rate for mandatory stays, the latest apparent fraudulent grift for Trump's own self-enrichment -- Voicemail caller is glad that David was banned from TikTok because he is a "lowlife" -- On the Bonus Show: Kanye West to buy social media platform Parler, court rejects appeal to give American Samoans citizenship, more US companies charging employees for job training if they quit, much more... 🌿 Sunset Lake CBD: Get 20% OFF using code PAKMAN at https://sunsetlakecbd.com 👍 Quit smoking with Fum! Use code PAKMAN for 10% OFF at https://breathefum.com/pakman ❄️ ChiliSleep by SleepMe: Get 25% OFF your bed-cooling system at https://chilisleep.com/pakman 👍 Munk Pack: Code PAKMAN saves you 20% at https://thld.co/munkpack_pakman_1022 💻 Get Private Internet Access for 82% OFF + 3 months free at https://www.piavpn.com/David -- Become a Supporter: http://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/thedavidpakmanshow -- Subscribe to Pakman Live: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanlive -- Subscribe to Pakman Finance: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanfinance -- Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/davidpakmanshow -- Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave us a message at The David Pakman Show Voicemail Line (219)-2DAVIDP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	All right, let's start today not hyper-ballically, but just in a way that aligns with the facts,
0:23.3	letting you know that the polling for the 2022 midterms in both the House and Senate is looking
0:30.5	a little bit worse for Democrats than it was three weeks ago. There is a very clear,
0:36.0	although for now, not massive shift away from Democrats towards Republicans in both the House
0:44.1	and Senate. And this just is another reminder that we all have to vote and we have to take nothing
0:50.3	for granted. Let's start first with the House of Representatives. Republicans have been favored
0:56.5	to win the House and they remain favored to win the House. But the rate, the probability of that
1:04.8	event taking place has increased. And if we look at the 538 forecast of the House of Representatives,
1:11.7	one of the things that you see is that over time, the Democratic chances of controlling the House
1:19.2	surged from about June through late September and then started to decline. Now it is not a massive
1:27.3	change, but there is this inflection point in late September, early October wherein Republican
1:35.2	odds of controlling the House, taking control of the House, have increased. What do we do about it?
1:41.6	Well, we all have to vote. That doesn't change. But this is starting to look like a trend. We then
1:47.3	look at the Senate Democrats have been for a while and remain favored to control the Senate after
1:56.3	the midterms to retain control. But again, if you look at how those odds have changed, you see an
2:02.5	even more notable inflection point. Again, this was right around, I don't know, mid-September.
2:09.2	And since mid-September, Democratic odds have declined and Republican odds have increased.
2:16.3	This doesn't change that the most likely outcome, the most likely single outcome is that Democrats
2:24.2	retain control of the Senate and Democrats lose control of the House. That's been the most
2:29.4	statistically likely outcome for a while now. But it's looking a little bit less good in the Senate
2:37.3	and even worse than it was in the House. So what is the takeaway later on in the show? We're going
2:43.2	to be looking at more debates from yesterday. We're going to be looking at other polling and
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