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The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

.1% Cow & Ghosted by a Witch | NFL Divisional Round

The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

Playmaker and iHeartPodcasts

News, Sports News, Football, Fantasy Sports, Sports

4.61.4K Ratings

🗓️ 15 January 2026

⏱️ 56 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Favorites is back for another look at the NFL Divisional Round! Action Network experts Stuckey, Kendra Middleton and Brandon Kravitz look at player props, totals and sides while discussing where they see value in the betting market. With only four games on the slate this weekend, the crew dives into their top plays, look back to 2016 and discuss the weirdest/most embarrassing thing to happen to their face/head. Yep, you read that right. Plus, they play Action or Distraction, cancel Kendra's Etsy Witch and put together another 2 Kings and a Queen Parlay on DraftKings. All that and more right here on The Favorites! 

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the favorites presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours. The divisional round gets kicked off on Saturday. We have all the info that you need to get set for all of it. We'll get you some bets in pocket by the end of this show as well. I am Brandon Cravitz joined by the favorites crew, the prime minister of degenerate nation, Stucky and the queen of the pod, Ms. Kendra Middleton, as I get so choked up because the season is coming to an end. On today's episode,

0:39.6

we've got action or distraction. Stuckies, random question of the week. Don't forget to pull

0:44.6

one of those out. Two kings and a queen parlay courtesy of draft kings and a sling TV look ahead

0:51.1

to Texans Patriots, but first our stat of the day straight from the primer.

0:57.3

Since 2003, home teams in the divisional round coming off of a buy are 33, 44, and 1 against

1:05.9

the spread. That's 43% including 3 and 7 ATS since 2020. That would of course be Seattle and Denver. If you were

1:15.0

following this trend, those were teams, those are teams that you would want to fade. As a favorite

1:20.0

of seven or more points off of a buy, those teams are 1726 and one. That's 40% ATS. That's

1:26.1

just the Seattle Seahawks. If you wanted to lean into that

1:30.1

trend, clearly you'd be on the 49ers and the bills, but Kendra, why do you think the buy

1:36.0

has been so disruptive? I want to answers from both of you on this. Any theories as to why,

1:41.3

and this works by the way in college football as well. These teams outside

1:44.5

of Indiana that have been getting the buy the last two years have been disrupted by it.

1:50.3

Yeah. Sitting on your couch, I think does a lot for people. But I think it's more so when you think

1:55.0

about something for so long, you almost over analyze it and you almost over game plan. So I think it's the combination, which is the easy answer to say, of just sitting on your couch, getting too comfy, not being out there in your routine, in the season, grind, and just starting to overplan instead of going out there and playing the game that you've played all season. I think people have way too much time to overthink it. Stucky, where are you out of this?

2:17.6

I mean,

2:17.8

we might be over,

2:18.6

like speaking over thinking,

2:19.7

we might just be overthinking this. It might just be random. I think that it's perhaps overpriced into. Yeah, that's the other thing is that people might, you might overvalue the buy. Bys aren't as valuable anyway. I mean, you go back home teams coming off of a buy

2:34.9

over the last like eight years in the regular season.

2:38.0

Um, a buy. Bys aren't as valuable anyway. I mean, you go back home teams coming off of a buy

2:34.9

over the last like eight years in the regular season have not performed well either.

...

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