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Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

WTT - Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain, Part 2

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

Ted Seides – Allocator and Asset Management Expert

Investing, Capitalallocation, Business

4.8806 Ratings

🗓️ 25 March 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Since I wrote Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain three weeks ago, we certainly hit a big one. I had a chance to take a step back and draw from my experience working at Yale for some parallels. Suffice it to say David Swensen didn't play the game like SVB did, but I think I know how he would've been spending his time to prepare for what comes next.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Today's episode is the second audio version of my blog.

0:10.0

Three weeks ago, I wrote a piece called Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain that described a common

0:15.7

issue with retirement plans, obesity, and climate change.

0:19.6

But I forgot to record it for the podcast.

0:22.4

Since then, we certainly hit a big one, a banking crisis caused in part by short-term behavior.

0:29.0

As we all voraciously take in the news every day, I had a chance to take a step back and

0:34.3

draw from my experience working at Yale for some parallels. Suffice it to say,

0:39.9

David Swenson didn't play the game like SVB did. But I think I know how he would have been spending

0:46.3

his time to prepare for what comes next. Without further ado, here it is. Short-term gain,

0:53.6

long-term pain, part two. David Swenson lived and breathed

0:59.2

long-term investing. From his license plate in Dow, to his aphorism, don't be so short-term,

1:06.8

David walked into the office every day with a mindset that embodied Yale's perpetual time horizon.

1:12.8

The issues I raised in short-term gain, long-term pain three weeks ago, would have resonated with him.

1:19.6

Since then, the collapse of SBB revealed another example of long-term pain inflicted by short-term gains.

1:29.5

The conditions leading to the bank crisis included violations of two of David's beliefs, invest according to first principles,

1:35.3

and take risk only when receiving adequate compensation. In 1994, part of my job at Yale was

1:41.6

managing the bond portfolio. Its purpose was to protect the endowment

1:45.5

against periods of deflation. David built a portfolio true to that objective, comprised almost

1:51.7

entirely of long-duration treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities backed by the full

1:56.7

faith and credit of the U.S. government. The only deviations from that model were security-specific

2:02.4

opportunities to get paid for illiquidity without taking any interest rate or duration risk.

2:08.5

We owned a strip Brady bond and a closed-end fund trading at a discount as examples.

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