4.8 • 806 Ratings
🗓️ 25 March 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Since I wrote Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain three weeks ago, we certainly hit a big one. I had a chance to take a step back and draw from my experience working at Yale for some parallels. Suffice it to say David Swensen didn't play the game like SVB did, but I think I know how he would've been spending his time to prepare for what comes next.
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0:00.0 | Today's episode is the second audio version of my blog. |
0:10.0 | Three weeks ago, I wrote a piece called Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain that described a common |
0:15.7 | issue with retirement plans, obesity, and climate change. |
0:19.6 | But I forgot to record it for the podcast. |
0:22.4 | Since then, we certainly hit a big one, a banking crisis caused in part by short-term behavior. |
0:29.0 | As we all voraciously take in the news every day, I had a chance to take a step back and |
0:34.3 | draw from my experience working at Yale for some parallels. Suffice it to say, |
0:39.9 | David Swenson didn't play the game like SVB did. But I think I know how he would have been spending |
0:46.3 | his time to prepare for what comes next. Without further ado, here it is. Short-term gain, |
0:53.6 | long-term pain, part two. David Swenson lived and breathed |
0:59.2 | long-term investing. From his license plate in Dow, to his aphorism, don't be so short-term, |
1:06.8 | David walked into the office every day with a mindset that embodied Yale's perpetual time horizon. |
1:12.8 | The issues I raised in short-term gain, long-term pain three weeks ago, would have resonated with him. |
1:19.6 | Since then, the collapse of SBB revealed another example of long-term pain inflicted by short-term gains. |
1:29.5 | The conditions leading to the bank crisis included violations of two of David's beliefs, invest according to first principles, |
1:35.3 | and take risk only when receiving adequate compensation. In 1994, part of my job at Yale was |
1:41.6 | managing the bond portfolio. Its purpose was to protect the endowment |
1:45.5 | against periods of deflation. David built a portfolio true to that objective, comprised almost |
1:51.7 | entirely of long-duration treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities backed by the full |
1:56.7 | faith and credit of the U.S. government. The only deviations from that model were security-specific |
2:02.4 | opportunities to get paid for illiquidity without taking any interest rate or duration risk. |
2:08.5 | We owned a strip Brady bond and a closed-end fund trading at a discount as examples. |
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