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More or Less: Behind the Stats

WS More or Less: When maths mistakes really matter

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 18 February 2019

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Tim Harford talks to Matt Parker on how simple maths mistakes can cause big problems.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to more or less on the BBC World Service. We are your guide to the

0:04.8

numbers in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Halford.

0:08.8

Comedy mathematician Matt Parker has a new book out, Humboldt Pie. That's Pie Without

0:14.1

a Knee. As you might guess, it's a celebration of the causes and consequences of mathematical,

0:19.8

engineering and programming errors. You might think of a mathematical error as taking place

0:24.6

in the realm of abstract thought, but an engineering error can be painfully visceral. Consider

0:30.7

the following maintenance issue from a BA or British Airways flight in the happy,

0:36.1

Heady Days of 1990. This was someone working on a BA aircraft, and they were placing a windscreen,

0:44.4

and they had took the bolts out and they had to put new bolts in, and they got the wrong

0:49.4

bolts when they put them back in again. I bought some of these bolts, so I bought a 211 7D bolts,

0:56.5

and a 2118 C bolts, 70 and the 8C. They're...

1:02.5

Dangerously close. The 7C, according to the specifications, is 0.026 inches wider,

1:11.0

about 0.66mm, whereas the 8C technically 0.1 inches longer, so that's about two and a half.

1:19.9

One slightly longer. The 8C is slightly longer. The 7D is slightly wider, but if you hold them

1:27.2

very hard to tell the difference, and so this guy took the bolts out of the aircraft to be

1:31.4

fair, he correctly identified what they were, but they didn't have enough, and so we had to drive

1:35.8

to a different store room, and all these incredible sozo things went wrong. Like him forgetting

1:40.6

his glasses that day, and later on they checked, and like over half of the compartments in the store

1:47.3

had the wrong parts in them. And there was a particular kind of wrench that he could have used.

1:52.3

Exactly. He would have helped him see that there was a problem, but that was missing.

1:55.9

So he had to use a different one, and that meant that he's hand was covering it, so he didn't see

1:59.8

that it'd fit properly. One tiny mistake after another tiny mistake.

...

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