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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Will Surging Energy Force the Fed's Hand?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business, Business News, News, Investing

4.21K Ratings

🗓️ 18 September 2023

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Equities and bonds make modest moves as crude oil hits its highest levels since last November. With the September FOMC meeting coming up on Wednesday, Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Ash Bennington to discuss how energy prices surging to yearly highs impacts decision-making from central banks around the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:05.2

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0:10.8

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0:21.5

Will there be no landing? Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing.

0:25.1

It's Monday, September 18, 2023. I'm Ash Bennington, joined today by Jim Bianco,

0:30.8

President of Bianco Research, Jim. Always great to be with you on these shows and elsewhere.

0:35.9

Yes, thanks for having me and to everybody paying, uh, watching us wake up because it's been

0:40.1

that kind of day in the market. Yeah, it's been a little sleepy. We're we close on the day,

0:44.1

is it is it perfectly flat? It is essentially flat. The S and P's up a whole six basis points

0:50.0

or two points overall. All right, Jim. So let's talk a little bit about the broader thesis,

0:55.6

the broader context here. I use that phrase, no landing at the top of the show. It's something that

1:00.4

you used in your note to us earlier today. Explain what no landing means in the context of this

1:05.7

background. Yeah, so I got to give Torston's Lock at Apollo the credit for pointing the phrase.

1:11.6

We all talk about a hard landing, which is a recession. We talk about a soft landing. And so in

1:18.8

keeping with the airplane metaphor and no landing is the plane doesn't land. It just keeps going.

1:24.8

The economy just keeps producing positive quarters. That's what an old landing is.

1:31.7

I happen to be in the no landing camp, but as the show unfolds, I'll actually make the case that

1:38.8

that is not as bullish as people think. I know people have finished with like one of tear my tonsils

1:44.8

because they're all bearish and they all don't like the no landing idea, but

1:49.2

no landing means higher interest rates is what that means. And that may become a serious retardant

1:55.3

to any kind of a rally in the market moving forward. So the idea here, Jim, is with no landing

2:00.1

scenario. Essentially, you just keep putting together a positive quarter after a positive quarter

...

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