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Marketplace

Will August bring a wave of trade deals or a hike in tariffs?

Marketplace

American Public Media

Business, News

4.68K Ratings

🗓️ 18 July 2025

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We’re starting to see the first real evidence of President Trump’s tariffs showing up in consumer prices. But are these manageable, one-time price increases or the early signs of runaway inflation? Ana Swanson at The New York Times and Sudeep Reddy at MSNBC weigh in. Also on the show: what the latest spending cuts say about the balance of power in Washington, and why the USDA is moving away from considering race and gender in its farm loan and benefit programs.


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Transcript

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0:00.0

The theme of the economic week might be summed up as we'll see.

0:06.9

From American Public Media, this is Marketplace.

0:14.9

In Baltimore, I'm Amy Scott in for Kai Rizdahl. It's Friday, July 18th. Good to have you with us.

0:26.3

So here we are at the end of the week. A pretty interesting one in the U.S. economy where some of the big questions about tariffs and the Fed remain TBD.

0:37.0

And here with us to make sense of it all, or at least as much

0:40.2

of it as we can get to in roughly six and a half minutes, are Sudip Reddy at MSNBC and

0:46.6

Anna Swanson at the New York Times. Hey, you two. Hey, Amy.

0:50.8

Hi, Amy. All right. So, Sudeep, we saw this week the first real evidence that the Trump tariffs are

0:57.4

showing up in consumer prices.

0:59.9

How concerning is the CPI number we got?

1:04.3

You know, just having evidence is so important right now.

1:08.0

The signs were limited.

1:09.9

There were some in toys and furniture,

1:12.5

and some apparel. That's to be expected when tariffs go up like this. The real question

1:18.9

for inflation is whether these are one-time price increases, which means they could probably be

1:23.5

manageable, or whether this starts the effect of price increases feeding on each other, which

1:29.2

becomes runaway inflation. We saw this take shape a little bit in 2021, certainly not anywhere

1:34.4

close to this scale now as it was back then, but that led to a whole feedback loop that had

1:41.3

more prices rising and labor costs rising and all these things that became

1:45.3

just so untenable. And the Fed is still living with the consequences of that and trying to

1:52.3

avoid having that same problem come up again. Anna, what do you think? I mean, for now, at least

1:58.5

the Trump administration is promising higher tariffs starting on on August 1st, without many of the promised deals in sight. What is the end goal here?

...

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