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Afford Anything

Why Your Retirement Math Might Be All Wrong — If You Follow the 4% Rule

Afford Anything

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

Entrepreneurship, Business, Investing

4.63.4K Ratings

🗓️ 15 November 2024

⏱️ 67 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#558: What happens when you spend three decades talking to retirement experts? You learn that most of what people think they know about retirement planning is oversimplified or wrong. Christine Benz, director of personal finance and retirement planning at Morningstar, joins us on the Afford Anything podcast to share what she's discovered after 31 years of interviewing experts across personal finance, tax planning, and Social Security. One key insight: The standard advice about withdrawing 4 percent of your portfolio annually in retirement misses the mark. Real-life spending isn't that simple. In your 60s, you might spend more on travel. By your 80s, healthcare costs often rise. Benz suggests creating separate "pots" of money for different purposes - like a travel fund you aim to deplete within your first decade of retirement. Want to protect against market crashes early in retirement? Benz recommends keeping 5-8 years of planned withdrawals in cash and high-quality bonds. This prevents having to sell stocks during downturns. We talk about why retirement doesn't need to be all-or-nothing. Instead of going from 40 hours to zero, Benz describes how many people benefit from a phased approach. This might mean keeping the parts of your job you enjoy while dropping the rest, or finding new ways to use your skills. The conversation shifts to housing choices. While many assume retirees move to Florida or Arizona, the data shows most stay put. Those who do move often end up near their oldest daughter. And while single-family homes tend to make people happier until around age 75, apartment dwellers report more satisfaction after that — largely due to increased social interaction. Benz shares her own retirement planning process. Despite being a retirement expert herself, she works with an hourly financial planner who tells her she'll likely struggle to spend as much as she could in retirement. It's a common problem — after decades of saving habits, many retirees find it psychologically difficult to spend their money. The interview wraps up with a discussion about relationships in retirement. Research shows that while older adults often have smaller social circles, these relationships tend to be deeper and more meaningful. They've pruned away the "good enough" friendships to focus on their closest connections. Benz's insights come from her new book "How to Retire" and her work at Morningstar, where she creates free model portfolios and hosts The Long View podcast. Beyond the financial aspects, she emphasizes that successful retirement planning involves thinking about purpose, relationships, and how you want to spend your days — not just your money. Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. 0:00 What 30 years of retirement expert interviews reveal 1:34 Why spending in retirement is harder than saving for it 3:12 Beyond money: need purpose, not just leisure 4:00 The challenge: planning for an unknown time horizon 8:52 Should market fears delay your retirement? 13:42 How much cash and bonds to keep safe 15:49 When bonds don't protect against stock crashes 18:33 Phased retirement: keep what you love, drop what you don't 29:24 Take mini-retirements throughout your career 33:20 Spending shifts: from travel to healthcare costs 46:14 Why most retirees don't actually move 57:31 After 75, apartment living beats houses 1:00:42 Friendship patterns change: quality over quantity 1:04:58 Virtual vs real-life connections 1:06:25 Where to find more info For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode558 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Imagine that you spent 30 years talking to people who were experts in personal finance and retirement planning.

0:07.5

What would you learn from doing that and what distillation of knowledge would you then want to pass on?

0:13.8

We're going to learn that today from Christine Benz, the director of personal finance and retirement planning at Morningstar.

0:22.2

Welcome to the Afford Anything podcast, the show that understands you can afford anything, but not everything.

0:28.0

Every choice carries a trade-off, and that applies not just to your money, but to your time,

0:32.8

your focus, your energy, to any limited resource. So, what matters most? This show helps you find that answer.

0:41.3

We focus on five pillars, financial psychology, increasing your income, investing, real estate,

0:47.2

and entrepreneurship. It's double eye fire. I'm your host, Paula Pantt. I trained in economic

0:52.6

reporting at Columbia. I help you prioritize.

0:55.6

And I'm here with Christine Benz.

0:57.1

Welcome, Christine.

0:58.0

Paula, it's such an honor.

0:59.3

You know, I'm a super fan of yours.

1:00.8

So I'm very excited to be here.

1:02.5

Thank you.

1:03.6

Over the last 31 years, you have spoken to this wide range of experts across fields that are as broad as personal finance, as

1:14.0

more tailored as retirement planning, or as granular as social security experts. What are some of

1:22.1

the biggest lessons that you've learned from that? One is that retirement decumulation is just wholly different from accumulating assets and

1:32.0

saving pre-retirement, that you have to figure out how much you can safely spend in retirement,

1:39.1

which is no mean feat when you think about the fact that it's an unknowable time horizon, and then also the complexion of

1:45.9

the investment portfolio needs to change because you are potentially drawing down from that

1:52.4

portfolio, which during a period that might not be great for stocks. So you need to build a portfolio

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