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Ken McElroy Show

Why Your Pension and Real Estate Values Are at Risk

Ken McElroy Show

Ken McElroy

Business, Investing, Education, Business News, News

4.8692 Ratings

🗓️ 17 December 2024

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this livestream replay, Ken and Danille McElroy uncover the looming "debt maturity wall" threatening commercial real estate, with $2.5 trillion in loans set to mature by 2026. They explain how rising interest rates, loan maturities, and collapsing values in office and multifamily markets could impact investors, banks, and even your pension.

To watch the livestream each week, follow the KenMcElroy YouTube channel and tune in at 11AM MST each Monday! Visit Ken's YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@KenMcElroy

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Visit Ken's Bookstore: https://kenmcelroy.com/books
 
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ABOUT KEN: Ken is the author of the bestselling books The ABC’s of Real Estate Investing, The Advanced Guide to Real Estate Investing, and The ABC’s of Property Management. With over two decades of experience in real estate investing, Ken McElroy is passionate about sharing the good life by helping real estate investors grow and prosper. This podcast is a place for Ken to discuss numerous topics connected to real estate investing, including finance, budgeting, the entrepreneur mindset, and creating passive income. Ken offers a wealth of personal experiences, practical advice, success stories, and even some informative setbacks, all presented here to educate and inspire. Whether you’re a new or seasoned investor, the information and resources on this channel will set you on a path where you and your investments can thrive.
 
Ken's company: https://mccompanies.com
 
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DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this podcast is intended for educational and general guidance only. Ken McElroy and KenMcElroy.com, LLC shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this podcast. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind.
 
Although Ken McElroy and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this podcast are accurate and up-to-date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’ Ken McElroy makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this podcast. Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and KenMcElroy.com, LLC encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites. All comments will be reviewed by the KenMcElroy.com staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate.
 
Comments that are off-topic, offensive, or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Ken McElroy and his affiliates.
 
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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

There is a silent bomb happening in the real estate market next year that you need to be aware of

0:04.7

because it's going to affect real estate prices and maybe your pension.

0:08.3

Well, not maybe.

0:09.8

That's for sure.

0:11.1

Yeah.

0:11.4

Yeah, a lot of this channel focuses on residential real estate, which I completely get.

0:16.7

But I don't think that a lot of people really dig into the commercial side and what's really happening.

0:23.1

There's what a lot of people are calling the debt maturity wall, which are essentially debt maturities, simple, for multifamily, retail, industrial, office, you know, everything that you can think of.

0:37.2

And they're expiring, and they have been expiring for 24, 25, 26, 27, 28.

0:42.8

Why is that important?

0:43.8

It's important because unlike a residential home, you have a mortgage that might be 30 years.

0:50.8

And it's like, you're good.

0:51.9

So like I was telling DeNeal, like when I built my house,

0:54.4

right after I built it in 2008, the price went down, right? So my construction costs of what I

1:02.6

owed on the house were actually higher than the value. But the thing is, is time cures a lot of that.

1:09.8

So time cures residential in lots of ways,

1:12.9

unless, of course, you have a loan maturing.

1:15.8

And the commercial real estate, it's very different.

1:18.9

Commercial real estate, they might be amortized for 30 years,

1:22.6

but you typically don't have,

1:25.5

you typically don't have that kind of time. So you could have three

1:28.8

years, five years, seven years, 10 years. So it depends on the loan. So let's first talk about,

...

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