4.8 • 786 Ratings
🗓️ 1 October 2021
⏱️ 21 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
0:09.1 | It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:16.2 | The breakdown is sponsored by Nidig and produced and distributed by CoinDes. |
0:22.6 | What's going on, guys? It is Thursday, September 30th, and today we are talking about why this fall, |
0:29.8 | aka this autumn, could be Bitcoin season. So one quick correction before I get into this. |
0:37.4 | Yesterday, most of the times that I was referring to Cracken Settlement with the CFTC, |
0:42.2 | I said the correct number of $1.25 million. |
0:45.5 | But at one point in the show, I said that their settlement was $125 million, |
0:50.3 | which obviously would have been a much bigger deal. |
0:53.0 | Just wanted to make it clear that it was a |
0:54.7 | $1.25 million settlement. All right, let's talk about why this fall could be Bitcoin season, |
1:01.6 | and to get into the conversation, let's talk about how the crypto industry uses the word |
1:07.0 | season in general. This refers to a sort of cyclicality that has been present historically |
1:13.7 | in the crypto industry. Basically, the idea is that as part of the market cycle, a Bitcoin |
1:20.2 | rally tends to then move into what people have called alt season. The idea here is that people |
1:26.5 | who have made a bunch of money and Bitcoin |
1:28.4 | then recycle their profits into alts, which they view at that part of the cycle, is having |
1:34.0 | a bigger opportunity to grow more over some period of time. Those alt cycles always encourage |
1:40.3 | a sort of mania, and then eventually they pop, and people who are wanting to stay in the |
1:44.9 | crypto industry retreat to some safer assets, specifically Bitcoin. We languish in obscurity |
1:50.5 | for a while, and then eventually the cycle starts again. Now, of course, there are lots and lots |
1:55.7 | of debates about the super cycle, and whether a super cycle, or at least least just a breaking of the traditional four-year |
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