From New York Times, I'm Michael Barrow. This is a date.

Today, with nearly two weeks to go before elections that will determine which party controls

the House and Senate, a major new poll from the Times has found that swing voters who

had backed Democrats are suddenly switching sides and supporting Republicans.

My colleague, Nate Cohn, explains why that is and what it will likely mean on Election Day.

It's Thursday, October 20th.

I'm Michael.

Hello. How are you?

I'm okay. I have this sense every election season that this is your game time. This is basically

Christmas for your little corner of the world.

Well, Christmas, I think typically brings a little bit more happiness than the election

can bring. Unless you want to count the polls as a gift, I do enjoy the polls. I have

to say I do too. So we wanted to talk to you right now because the political wins have

changed. The last time you came on the show over the summer, you told us that according

to multiple polls, including polls conducted by the Times, Democrats were doing surprisingly

well, despite longstanding rules and American politics, which say that the party that controls

the White House is supposed to get crushed in midterm elections. Somehow, Democrats were

poised to potentially avoid that fate according to the polls. What did the latest poll tell

us about what happened to that summer of relative Democratic love?

Well, if our last poll found a summer of Democratic love, then I think our poll suggests that

the electorate summer fling with the Democrats is coming to an end. We show the Republicans

now taking the lead on this poll. The generic congressional ballot is a little complicated,

...