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GZERO World with Ian Bremmer

Why Putin will fail: former Finnish PM Alexander Stubb

GZERO World with Ian Bremmer

GZERO Media

Politics, News, Foreign Policy, News Commentary, Government, Geopolitics, International Relations, Ian Bremmer, Trump, Global Economy, Gzero World

4.7830 Ratings

🗓️ 19 March 2022

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The ripple effects of Russia’s war with Ukraine are spreading well beyond Ukraine's borders. And one country watching very closely is Finland. On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer talks to former Finnish PM Alexander Stubb, who explains why his country has moved from neutrality to an open embrace of NATO. He believes Putin will ultimately fail at the three things he's trying to accomplish: annex Ukraine; push back NATO's borders to where they were during the Cold War; and prevent Finland and Sweden from joining the alliance.  Stubb — who once helped broker Russia's 2008 cease-fire with Georgia — believes Putin has backed himself into a corner and won't back down on Ukraine. Ten years from now, Stubb anticipates a Russia that will be as isolated as North Korea is today.

Transcript

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0:00.0

You have to remember that Putin has three aims at the moment.

0:03.6

Number one, invade and annex Ukraine.

0:07.2

Number two, push back the frontiers of NATO.

0:10.5

And then number three, prevent Finland and Sweden from joining NATO.

0:14.4

I'm afraid he's going to fail in all three.

0:18.8

Hello and welcome to the G0 World podcast. This is where you'll find extended versions of my

0:24.3

interviews on public television. I'm Ian Bremmer. And today, why Russia's invasion of Ukraine

0:30.3

is about much more than just Ukraine. 13 other nations share a border with Russia. It's big.

0:37.2

And Finland's is over 800 miles.

0:40.1

Residents of that northern European nation have no illusions that Putin will stop if he manages to take over Ukraine.

0:47.0

And my guest today, former Finnish Prime Minister Alexander Stubb, weighs in on the West's response to Russia so far, as well as Finland's unique role

0:56.4

in the region and how likely his country is to join NATO. Let's get to it.

1:05.8

The G0 World podcast is brought to you by our founding sponsor, First Republic.

1:13.5

First Republic, a private bank and wealth management company, understands the value of service, safety, and stability in today's uncertain world.

1:23.2

Visit firstrepublic.com to learn more.

1:26.8

This GZero World podcast is also brought to you by Visa.

1:30.7

At Visa, we are committed to creating opportunities for small business owners.

1:35.3

That's why we've created the Visa Economic Empowerment Institute,

1:39.0

a digital platform dedicated to sharing research and fostering the open exchange of policy ideas designed to empower citizens,

1:46.8

small businesses, and economies alike.

1:49.9

Visit visa economic empowerment institute.org to learn more.

2:07.6

Alexander Stubb, Mr. Prime Minister, very good to see you. Thanks for joining. Thank you. My pleasure.

...

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