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The Morning Filter

Why Microsoft Stock Is Worth $600

The Morning Filter

Morningstar, Susan Dziubinski - Investment Specialist, Dave Sekera - Chief U.S. Markets Strategist

Business News, Funds, Stock Picks, News, Business, Morningstar, Stock Market, Stocks, Etfs, Investing

4.749 Ratings

🗓️ 27 May 2026

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Morningstar’s analyst unpacks Microsoft’s AI investments, revenue growth potential, and biggest risks while making the case for a $600 valuation.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Please stay tuned for important disclosure information at the conclusion of this episode.

0:08.0

Hi.

0:28.9

Hello. Hello, I'm Dave Sikara, co-host of the weekly podcast, The Morning Filter.

0:35.7

Today I'm joined by Dan Romanov, senior equity analyst on our technology team, who covers the software space.

0:39.5

Today is Wednesday, May 20th, and we're conducting a bonus episode of our podcast to conduct a deep dive into our analysis and valuation of Microsoft.

0:46.7

Now, Microsoft stock peaked in October 2025, but it sold off pretty significantly since then,

0:52.8

having been caught up in the broad decline

0:54.6

in all of the different software stocks.

0:57.2

As of today, Microsoft is a five-star rated stock, our highest risk-adjusted stock rating, and

1:02.7

it trades at nearly a 30% discount to our intrinsic valuation.

1:06.8

In fact, by market capitalization, this is the greatest differentiation between our valuation

1:13.1

in the marketplace today.

1:15.0

Thank you very much, Dan, for joining us here today.

1:17.1

Sure, Dave.

1:18.1

Thanks.

1:19.1

Happy to be here.

1:20.1

Well, we all know Microsoft.

1:21.5

We're all familiar.

1:22.4

We've all used Microsoft Word.

1:23.8

We've all used Microsoft Excel.

1:25.8

We've all certainly made slide decks know, slide decks and PowerPoint,

1:28.9

but there's a lot more to Microsoft than just Office. So I was hoping maybe just start us off today

...

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