4.7 • 9.2K Ratings
🗓️ 16 September 2025
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | NPR. |
| 0:02.0 | This is the indicator from planet money. I'm Paddy Hirsch. |
| 0:14.5 | And I'm Adrienne Ma. |
| 0:15.4 | It's an exciting week for the indicator because we find out tomorrow how much the Federal |
| 0:19.7 | Reserve will cut interest rates. And while it looks like there will be a cut, it's not clear just how deep |
| 0:26.9 | that cut will be. Now, the smart money, the analysts and Wall Street types, they're predicting |
| 0:33.1 | maybe a quarter of a percentage point cut, or maybe a half a percentage point. |
| 0:38.1 | Well, who knows, but however deep the Fed goes, it probably won't be deep enough for President |
| 0:42.6 | Trump. On his social media platform, Truth Social a couple of months ago, Trump wrote, |
| 0:47.8 | Fed should cut rates by three points. Very low inflation, one trillion dollars a year would be saved. |
| 0:54.6 | Were there any exclamation points there? |
| 0:57.0 | Oh, yes. |
| 0:57.8 | Three. |
| 0:58.9 | Three exclamation points for, I guess, a requested three percentage point reduction. |
| 1:05.4 | Or maybe if you want to be fancy about it, call it 300 basis points. |
| 1:09.6 | We're fancy. |
| 1:10.5 | And, you know, a cut of that size would |
| 1:13.0 | take the Fed funds rate from 4.5% today to just 1.5%. That would be a massive cut. Massive indeed. |
| 1:20.6 | So on today's show, we'll look at what might happen if the President got his way and the Fed did |
| 1:25.6 | indeed cut rates by three percentage points. |
| 1:27.9 | What would that do to inflation? |
| 1:29.8 | To mortgage rates, would it save a trillion dollars a year, as Mr. Trump claims? |
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