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Odd Lots

Why a Strong Dollar Causes Most of the World Major Pain

Odd Lots

Bloomberg

News, Investing, Business, News Commentary, Business News

4.41.6K Ratings

🗓️ 1 July 2019

⏱️ 41 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The vast majority of global trade is still denominated in U.S. dollars, making cross-border flows about currencies as much as manufactured goods. On this week's episode of the Odd Lots podcast, we speak to Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser and head of research at the Bank for International Settlements. He talks about why a weaker dollar amounts to looser financial conditions for much of the world. He also gives his outlook on the global economy and the state of credit markets.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Business stories aren't just about business. They're also about policy, politics, finance, and more.

0:06.5

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0:10.5

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0:16.7

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0:22.0

Find it in the Apple App Store or on Google Play.

0:25.0

Bloomberg in-car apps are sponsored by interactive brokers. Hello and welcome'm Joe Ers.

0:43.0

Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

0:47.0

I'm Tracy Allaway.

0:48.0

And I'm Joe Ersintall.

0:50.0

Joe, do you remember you wrote something, I'm guessing it was a year or two ago, but you basically

0:58.4

wrote about how finance was sort of ground zero for de-globalization and a trade war.

1:05.0

Do you remember that?

1:07.0

I don't remember the specific thing per se that you're talking about,

1:11.0

but I feel like this has been a reoccurring theme for us and a couple of things

1:17.0

I've written and you've written for a while now thinking about like just this idea that if the world is going to

1:24.6

de-globilize and arguably it is and arguably President Trump that's part of his

1:29.9

mission that finance might be really where you see it emerge first.

1:36.0

Right, because I think what tends to happen when people talk about trade tensions or a trade war is people start thinking about tangible goods,

1:45.5

you know, like semiconductors and chips and I don't know all sorts of commodities,

1:50.9

but people rarely actually stop and think that, well, all that global

1:54.3

trade is something that is being financed by someone and the financiers in this

2:01.0

case are financial institutions or large banks and so it would make a lot of sense if they also get hit by the trade tensions.

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