🇺🇦 Where Will the War Go Next?

This Is Not A Drill with Gavin Esler

Podmasters

News, Society & Culture, Politics

4.9 • 1.6K Ratings

🗓️ 26 July 2022

⏱️ 25 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

With the war heading into a sixth month, where will the conflict go next? How are both sides doing when it comes to ammunition? Is NATO really united in its objectives? And how Russia's rhetoric playing out in the Global South? Dr Jack Watling, a senior research fellow at RUSI, joins Arthur Snell for the second of two war bulletins to look at the future direction of the conflict. We're currently running a listener survey to hear what you think. Complete it to be in with a chance of winning a Doomsday Watch t-shirt: https://0jsbaoous3m.typeform.com/to/Nzg2KRQJ?typeform-source=t.co We're putting out irregular war bulletins covering different aspects of the Ukraine crisis. You can support our work on the crowdfunding app Patreon: doomsdaywatch.co.uk Resources to help the Ukrainian people can be found here: https://ukrainewar.carrd.co/ “The Russians have plenty of unguided ammunition and they can manufacture more of it.” “Western sanctions will hamper Russia’s ability to manufacture certain weaponry.” “If I was watching this as China, thinking about Taiwan, I would be saying NATO lacks legs.” “What we’ve seen in Ukraine is how dangerous it is when the credibility of your deterrence fails.” “Just running the Ukrainian government is going to cost the EU and US a lot of money over the coming months.” “We can’t get too excited about Russian diplomacy.” DOOMSDAY WATCH was written and presented by Arthur Snell, and produced by Robin Leeburn with Jacob Archbold. Theme tune and original music by Paul Hartnoll. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison. DOOMSDAY WATCH is a Podmasters production Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	caution. The ultimate spicy meatball from Dominoes is hot. Just not stupid hot. It won't earn you
0:05.4	mythical status or get you a nickname like Mad Dog or Dragon's Breath. It's hot. Good hot.
0:10.8	The kind of hot that boosts taste nothing else. The ultimate spicy meatball with Siracha
0:15.2	Drizzle from Dominoes, it will get you fired up. Subject to availability. When you can't quite
0:21.0	get the angle, take hands free selfies with the Samsung Galaxy Z Flip 5. Stand it up,
0:26.2	step back and your photos are also synced to your Chromebook, ready to edit.
0:30.9	The new Samsung Galaxy Z Flip 5 and Chromebook, available on Vodafone.
0:37.5	I'm Arthur Snell. A major war is taking place on the European continent with Russia's invasion
0:42.9	of Ukraine, bringing you a series of special episodes to help you understand the crisis as it unfolds.
0:49.6	This is Domestay Watch. Welcome back to Domestay Watch. We hope you're finding these war
1:00.0	bulletins valuable. A quick reminder that you can support our work on the crowdfunding app
1:05.4	Patreon from as little as £3 per month. Just search Patreon Domestay Watch or follow the link
1:11.8	in the show notes. Welcome back to Domestay Watch. This is a second of two episodes we recorded
1:19.5	with Dr. Jack Watling of the Royal United Services Institute. If you haven't heard the first one
1:25.0	yet, probably best to start there where we talk about the situation on the ground in Ukraine.
1:30.1	In this episode, we cover the strategic and international picture. I began by asking Jack what
1:36.3	was the situation on both sides in terms of ammunition and supplies and their ability to continue
1:42.1	fighting this war. There's quite a few things there. One of them is about people. One of them is
1:48.8	about munitions and then we can talk about NATO. We'll start with the Russian munitions picture.
1:56.4	Russia probably has enough conventional unguided munitions, so dumb rounds, to maintain its
2:04.6	current rate of fire for about six years. There's no shortage of ammunition and they can keep moving
2:13.2	those rounds to the front. As they break into older stocks, the reliability of some of those rounds
	...

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