Where the Money Is 09.08.2014
Industry Focus
The Motley Fool
4.6 • 854 Ratings
🗓️ 8 September 2014
⏱️ 14 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Analyst Michael Douglass and banking contributor John Maxfield chat about bank earnings, the S&P 500, and the status of housing market.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Bank earnings in the third quarter where the S&P is going from here and big news about the housing market because this is where the money is. |
| 0:10.0 | Hi Fool's, I'm analyst Michael Douglas here with senior baking specialist John Maxfield |
| 0:15.2 | you may recognize my face my voice from where the money is the health care |
| 0:19.1 | edition on Wednesdays I'm in fact with with both now, financials and health care, so you'll hopefully |
| 0:25.3 | be seeing quite a bit of me and hopefully that will be fun for everybody. |
| 0:28.2 | But I'm here with John today and we are going to be talking first off about bank earnings expected to rise in the third quarter. |
| 0:35.2 | Now that's a headline from the Wall Street Journal. |
| 0:38.6 | Analysts are projecting that the six biggest banks will increase their combined net income |
| 0:42.2 | by about 16.2 billion in the quarter |
| 0:44.8 | ending September 30th. That equates to about a 21% year over year increase. |
| 0:48.9 | John, where is this coming from? |
| 0:50.7 | So what we're seeing here, Michael, is it's coming from three different sources. Number one it's coming from |
| 0:56.3 | loan growth, it's coming from investment banking fees and it's coming from |
| 0:59.6 | higher revenue from trading. So those three things are expected to fuel the increase and |
| 1:05.4 | you can see that in breakdown of the banks that are really expected to do well. You |
| 1:09.3 | have your Morgan Stanley's your Goldmas Sachs and your Citigroup which are your |
| 1:12.4 | traditional Wall Street banks, |
| 1:14.4 | that have the largest year of your expectations of EPS growth. |
| 1:17.8 | So for Morgan Stanley, it's 11%, Goldmasax 8%, and Citigroup is 14%. Now on the other side of the equationigroup is 14%. |
| 1:23.2 | Now on the other side of the equation, |
| 1:24.4 | you have your more traditional lenders, |
| 1:26.2 | your Wells Fargo and your JPMorgan Chase. |
... |
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