Want to know what's happening in the markets? On The Bid, a podcast from BlackRock, we break down what's happening in the world of investing.

We see in so many of the developed economies, people just don't have the adequacy of savings to live in retirement and dignity, specifically in the United States.

And explore the forces changing the economy and finance. We've never had such fantastic alignment around public policy

and technological innovation that we see in infrastructure right now. Subscribe to the bid wherever

you get your podcasts. We know all you want to hear about is whether Trump or Harris is going to win on

Tuesday. You're tired of being

told it's 50-50. You're sick of all the noise about early votes, polling numbers, the vibes.

You just want to know whether your guy or gal is going to win. So we got some service journalism

for you. Joining the show today are two of the world's top election forecasters who are going to give it to you straight, no chaser, and I also tell you it's really close.

Joining from the San Francisco Bay Area is Luxia Jane, co-founder of Split Ticket.

It's always easy to jump to conclusions about something, but none of us are as good at this as we think we are.

And that goes for modelers, observers, and people who work on campaigns.

And from D.C., Logan Phillips, founder of race to the White House.

So polls are still going to be one of the most useful measures we have.

And if you plug them into election forecasts like I run and like lecture runs,

we can get a good sense of the probability both candidates have of winning and the chance of an upset.

These two young forecasters have amassed a record that has challenged the king, Nate Silver,

and many times surpassed him.

They and their models have brought new techniques and new generations into the forecasting

marketplace.

Today they are going to give you the key findings from their 2024 models.

We discussed how to read all the breathless reporting about Trump and Harris's share of

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