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The Run-Up

What the Last Bellwether in America Thinks Will Happen in 2024

The Run-Up

The New York Times

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.42K Ratings

🗓️ 2 November 2023

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Out of more than 3,000 counties in the United States, Clallam County, Wash. is the only one that has voted for the winner of the presidential race every year since 1980. It earned this distinction in 2020, the election that broke everyone else’s streak. We’re a year out from the 2024 presidential election and despite a robust Republican primary field, the race is looking like it could easily be a 2020 rematch. So we thought Clallam County could give us something resembling a prediction. Here’s how the people there are feeling — and how they think this is going to go.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Oh man, it is so nice here.

0:11.1

In a remote corner of the country.

0:13.5

I mean, we have to be at like near the northwestern most point of the United States,

0:18.9

little or 48 right now, like right on the border with Canada.

0:22.6

We have the ocean in front of us.

0:24.4

We have like the very tall Olympic mountains behind us.

0:29.8

It's Clalam County, Washington, a county that's isolated and beautiful.

0:35.7

Olympic National Park is there.

0:37.9

And the total population is only about 78,000.

0:40.9

You all are out here surfing?

0:42.9

Yeah.

0:43.9

Where are you guys from?

0:44.9

New York.

0:45.9

New York.

0:46.9

Yeah, we're here working.

0:47.9

We're a political journalist in Clalam for the weekend.

0:50.7

You're from New York and you're a political journalist in Clalam for the weekend?

0:54.2

Yeah, I know.

0:55.2

But here's a very surprising set of birds next to each other.

0:58.4

Are you working with the tribes?

1:00.2

No, actually, we're working with New York Times for their politics podcast.

1:03.5

It's actually because of this random fact that Clalam is the only county in America to have

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