4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 8 December 2025
⏱️ 26 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
We now know some details about the Trump administration’s promised agricultural relief package. Central to the plan is billions in one-time payments to U.S. farmers, who have been hurting under new trade policies and rising equipment costs. Is it enough? Also in this episode: What FOMC members are likely contemplating ahead of this week’s meeting, who will be most hurt by rising ACA health insurance premiums, and why home builders overestimated new construction demand in 2025.
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| 0:00.0 | Turns out it's not what you know, but when you know it, economy-wise. |
| 0:07.7 | From American public media, this is Marketplace. |
| 0:19.4 | In Los Angeles, I'm Kyle Rizdahl. It is Monday. Today, this one is the 8th of December. Good as it always is to have you along, everybody. |
| 0:28.8 | We're going to talk in a little bit about the Federal Reserve and what data it's going to be looking at tomorrow and Wednesday as it decides what's to do with interest rates and why, in fact, it is meeting without |
| 0:38.1 | the latest data. But we're going to start with the last best information the central bank is going to |
| 0:43.5 | have to put into its models. The October count of job openings and layoffs, that'll be along for us |
| 0:49.1 | tomorrow. Marketplace of Nova Safo gets us going today. Here's what we know. |
| 0:54.5 | Inflation has been stubbornly hanging around 2.8% for months. |
| 0:58.9 | That's above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. |
| 1:02.4 | Meanwhile, key areas of the labor market are showing signs of weakness, says Elise Gould at the Economic Policy Institute. |
| 1:10.2 | So if you look at, let's say, |
| 1:11.5 | the black unemployment rate, that's been rising pretty steadily over the last few months. |
| 1:15.7 | Young workers, their unemployment rate has been rising over the last year, almost two years. |
| 1:20.5 | She says that can indicate things to come for the broader labor market. For the October |
| 1:24.9 | report on job openings due out tomorrow, Gould will look closely at the |
| 1:29.3 | rate of new hires, which has been falling. The hires rate is about where we were in the aftermath of |
| 1:35.3 | the Great Recession. So think 2013, 2014, not a very strong economy. But as we know, the labor market |
| 1:41.4 | isn't the Federal Reserve's only concern. It also works to keep prices stable. |
| 1:46.4 | And on that front, Adita Babe of BOVA Global Research says, |
| 1:50.5 | the Fed may soon have something new to worry about. |
| 1:53.6 | And there's a wonky economic term for it, reflation. |
| 1:57.7 | In reflation, you have more money, and the risk is that everybody else has more money as well, |
... |
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