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The Ezra Klein Show

What’s Happening to Our Economy Is Like a Natural Disaster

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 29 January 2021

⏱️ 69 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Biden administration’s first legislative priority is a $1.9 trillion economic rescue package. It’s the kind of mega-package where the individual policies contained inside it — a $15 minimum wage, $1,400 checks, a huge child tax credit expansion, a $50 billion virus testing infrastructure — would be big deals on their own. But together, this would be one of the most consequential packages ever passed. So there’s a lot to talk about here. And who better to talk about it with than my now-colleague Paul Krugman? We dig into the details of the plan and then spiral off into some other topics I wanted to run by the nearest Nobel laureate: the major rethinking of debt and deficits among left-of-center economists, the differences between Keynesians and Modern Monetary Theorists, how Krugman made a bunch of money off Bitcoin (it’s not how you’d think!), why progressives need a better theory of technological change, Krugman’s favorite indie bands of the mid-2000s, and more. Mentioned in this episode: “Notes on the Coronacoma (Wonkish)” by Paul Krugman “Why Markets Boomed in a Year of Human Misery” by Neil Irwin and Weiyi Cai “Who’s Afraid of Budget Deficits?” By Jason Furman and Lawrence Summers “Public Debt: Fiscal and Welfare Costs in a Time of Low Interest Rates” by Olivier Blanchard “America’s anti-democratic Senate, in one number” by Ian Millhiser Book Recommendations: “Laundry Files” series by Charlie Stross “Merchant Princes” series by Charlie Stross “The Price of Peace” by Zachary Carter Band Recommendations: The Be Good Tanyas Larkin Poe Reina del Cid You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of "The Ezra Klein Show" at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at [email protected]. “The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Rogé Karma and Jeff Geld; fact-checking by Michelle Harris; original music by Isaac Jones; mixing by Jeff Geld.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Mr. Klein and this is the Ezra Klein Show.

0:17.8

One of the pleasures of being at the New York Times at Pity Page is you get to call Paul

0:22.1

Krugman, your colleague, just in casual conversation by my colleague, Paul Krugman.

0:27.8

And so when the Democrats are drawing up a $1.9 trillion fiscal rescue package, rather

0:32.9

than just reading what Paul has to say in the paper, you can control him into going through

0:37.0

the economics with you live on a podcast.

0:41.9

That was a theory of this conversation, but I'm going to be honest, I had an ulterior

0:45.4

motive here too.

0:53.4

There's been another conversation I've wanted to have with Paul for months now actually.

0:58.5

I don't think people fully appreciate how consequential the rethinking of debt and deficits

1:03.6

is among mainstream left of center economists.

1:06.2

I would go so far as to say it is the single most important conceptual change among policymakers

1:12.3

of the last two decades.

1:14.4

But it is also revealed that the debt and deficits debate was always built on empirical quicksand.

1:20.8

It was pretended for years to have firm clear answers to the question of how much the government

1:25.5

can borrow.

1:26.9

But they didn't have those answers and they didn't in my view because it turns out if

1:30.6

you dig they really don't understand two other things they often claim to understand.

1:35.6

It just rates in how they move and inflation and how it moves.

1:40.1

And if I'm right about that, then we should be blunt about this.

1:43.5

We are flying a lot blinder than people want to think in economic policy making.

1:47.7

But maybe I'm wrong, maybe I'm just not catching this one correctly.

...

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