4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 24 November 2025
⏱️ 17 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Despite a year marked by geopolitical uncertainty, higher tariffs, and slowing growth, |
| 0:10.1 | we've seen a surge in deal-making activity in 2025. |
| 0:13.7 | So what has the M&A market been so resilient? |
| 0:16.4 | And can this current wave of M&A activity continue in 26? |
| 0:20.6 | To help unpack the state of deals and chart the road ahead, |
| 0:23.6 | I'm joined by Goldman Sachs' Stefan Feldgoyce, |
| 0:26.1 | head of global mergers and acquisitions |
| 0:27.7 | in the firm's global banking and markets business. |
| 0:33.1 | Stefan, welcome back to the program. |
| 0:35.1 | Thanks for having me. |
| 0:36.4 | Stefan, when we spoke about a year ago, the M&A market was just beginning to show signs of life. |
| 0:41.9 | But since then, we've actually had a long list of headwinds. We've had Liberation Day that brought higher tariffs and a lot of concerns about sharply higher tariffs. |
| 0:51.2 | There's been broader policy uncertainty, macro uncertainty, and most recently, |
| 0:55.9 | of course, we've had the longest U.S. government shut down in history. So a lot of headwinds, |
| 1:01.4 | but the M&A activity has actually picked up very sizably. So why is that given all of these |
| 1:07.0 | headwinds? It's interesting. It's actually very interesting. The first quarter of the year, as you said, there was a fair degree of uncertainty post-election heading into a 2025 where people weren't sure how it would play out. And so the first quarter was relatively quiet, I would say. April was extremely quiet post-liberation day. Heading out of April into May, you started to see a crescendo of transactions, |
| 1:28.2 | particularly on the larger side. And then I would say the last three months heading into the fall |
| 1:32.2 | in the winter has rivaled what we saw in 2021, which has been the most active. In fact, in my career, |
| 1:37.9 | I did not think we would look back and see a period as active as we saw in 2021. The last quarter, |
| 1:43.3 | the last three, four months have rivaled 2021. |
| 1:46.4 | And if you look at the year in total now, the number of $10 billion transactions is up 100% over |
| 1:52.0 | 24. And so it's not just become an active year. It's become one of the most active years in history. |
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