What Next TBD: The Polls Weren’t Wrong

Slate Technology

Slate

Society & Culture, Technology, History

4.6 • 636 Ratings

🗓️ 10 November 2024

⏱️ 25 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Many folks were surprised at how soundly Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the election, especially since they thought the polls made it seem like a coin flip. The problem is, that’s not quite what the polls were saying. Guest: Tatishe M. Nteta, Provost Professor of Political Science, Director of UMass Poll Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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1:02.8	On Tuesday night, Titish Netta realized the election was breaking for Trump,
1:07.5	when Georgia and North Carolina began reporting results.
1:10.6	It sort of began to coalesce that for Trump when Georgia and North Carolina began reporting results.
1:19.0	It sort of began to coalesce that he could win those two states, which were likely necessary for the Harris campaign, if she had lost any one of the three blue wall states.
1:26.5	Tatish is the director of the UMass poll and a political science professor at UMass Amherst.
1:32.2	After looking at those early numbers, he began listening to what democratic surrogates were saying on TV.
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