4 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 23 February 2022
⏱️ 29 minutes
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0:00.0 | Here are a few of the words you might use to describe what's happening in Ukraine right |
0:12.7 | now. You might call it an incursion of Russian troops. Maybe the beginning of an invasion, |
0:20.6 | but one word some are resisting using so far at least, is war. |
0:26.8 | This is not the all-out nightmare scenario we were fearing. |
0:31.8 | Josh Keating covers global security for the new site grid. |
0:35.6 | It was always clear that if a war started that Danyatsk and Luhansk, these two breakaway |
0:41.7 | regions would be the kind of tripwire for it, it's less clear that it's how that conflict |
0:46.5 | is going to end. |
0:48.5 | Separatists in Danyatsk and Luhansk have been fighting to join Russia for years. And |
0:53.1 | Josh says, when Vladimir Putin recognized the so-called independence of these regions |
0:58.0 | on Monday, and then sent what he calls peacekeeping troops into defend them, he was pulling out |
1:04.4 | a page from a familiar playbook. |
1:07.3 | Russia has traditionally used these kind of frozen conflicts or breakaway regions as a way |
1:12.5 | to, you know, sort of expand Russia's influence in its region. It's what they did in Georgia |
1:19.2 | in 2008. There were these two breakaway regions there, and they basically sort of goaded |
1:26.1 | Georgia into attacking them first, which then gave Russia all the pretext that needed |
1:31.6 | to launch an all-out invasion. |
1:34.0 | This time, I think Russia was trying to kind of do the same operation, but the difference |
1:39.5 | is that Ukraine hasn't taken the bait so far. |
1:43.3 | If you look at a map of these regions, you can see they've got a seam down the middle |
1:47.3 | of them. |
1:48.4 | That's the front line where Ukraine and Russia have been battling for control. It's emblematic |
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