meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Stay Wealthy Retirement Podcast

What Does an Inverted Yield Curve Mean for Retirement Investors

Stay Wealthy Retirement Podcast

Taylor Schulte, CFP®

Financialplanning, Retirement, Money, Taxplanning, Stocks, Wealth, Business, Investing, Retirementplanning

2.4606 Ratings

🗓️ 20 September 2022

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The current yield on a one-year U.S.Treasury bond is 4%.

But the yield on a ten-year Treasury bond is only…3.5%

Why is this?

What does it mean for retirement savers?

And how should investors respond?

That’s what I’m tackling today on the show!

***

✏️  Grab the Episode Show Notes

📬  Subscribe to the Stay Wealthy Newsletter!

📊  Get Your FREE Retirement & Tax Analysis

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The current yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4%.

0:04.5

But the yield on a 10-year treasury bond is only 3.5%.

0:09.2

Why is this?

0:10.4

What does it mean for retirement savers and how should investors respond?

0:14.2

That's what I'm tackling today on the show.

0:16.2

To grab the links and resources mentioned, just head over to you staywealthy.com forward slash 168.

0:25.7

The risk-free rate is the rate of return offered by an investment that theoretically carries zero risk.

0:32.1

I say theoretically because in practice, the risk-free rate of return doesn't truly exist, since every investment

0:39.0

out there carries at least some form of risk, even if it's not in the traditional sense.

0:43.7

But for U.S. investors, the yield on a short-term U.S. Treasury bond is often used as the risk-free

0:51.1

rate. And that's because an investment in a U.S. Treasury bill or U.S.

0:55.5

Treasury bond is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States and therefore is deemed

1:00.5

one of the safest investments that one can make. For today's episode, we're going to use the

1:04.9

yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond as a reflection of the current risk-free rate. And as stated at the top of the show, the current yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond as a reflection of the current risk-free rate. And as stated at the top of the show, the current yield on a one-year U.S.

1:14.7

treasury bond, i.e. the risk-free rate, is 4%.

1:18.3

This means that if you invest $100,000 into a one-year U.S. Treasury bond today,

1:24.2

you'll have earned $4,000 of interest when that bond matures in 12 months without

1:28.8

taking really any investment risk.

1:31.5

On the other hand, if you invest $100,000 into a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, you'll only be

1:38.2

earning $3,500 every 12 months in interest for the next decade.

1:42.8

And that's because a 10-year U.S.

1:45.9

Treasury bond is currently yielding 3.5% percent, half of a percent less than the one-year bond.

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Taylor Schulte, CFP®, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Taylor Schulte, CFP® and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.