What Does an Inverted Yield Curve Mean for Retirement Investors
Stay Wealthy Retirement Podcast
Taylor Schulte, CFP®
4.7 • 678 Ratings
🗓️ 20 September 2022
⏱️ 11 minutes
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Summary
The current yield on a one-year U.S.Treasury bond is 4%.
But the yield on a ten-year Treasury bond is only…3.5%.
Why is this?
What does it mean for retirement savers?
And how should investors respond?
That's what I'm tackling today on the show!
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The current yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond is 4%. |
| 0:04.5 | But the yield on a 10-year treasury bond is only 3.5%. |
| 0:09.2 | Why is this? |
| 0:10.4 | What does it mean for retirement savers and how should investors respond? |
| 0:14.2 | That's what I'm tackling today on the show. |
| 0:16.2 | To grab the links and resources mentioned, just head over to you staywealthy.com forward slash 168. |
| 0:25.7 | The risk-free rate is the rate of return offered by an investment that theoretically carries zero risk. |
| 0:32.1 | I say theoretically because in practice, the risk-free rate of return doesn't truly exist, since every investment |
| 0:39.0 | out there carries at least some form of risk, even if it's not in the traditional sense. |
| 0:43.7 | But for U.S. investors, the yield on a short-term U.S. Treasury bond is often used as the risk-free |
| 0:51.1 | rate. And that's because an investment in a U.S. Treasury bill or U.S. |
| 0:55.5 | Treasury bond is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States and therefore is deemed |
| 1:00.5 | one of the safest investments that one can make. For today's episode, we're going to use the |
| 1:04.9 | yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond as a reflection of the current risk-free rate. And as stated at the top of the show, the current yield on a one-year U.S. Treasury bond as a reflection of the current risk-free rate. And as stated at the top of the show, the current yield on a one-year U.S. |
| 1:14.7 | treasury bond, i.e. the risk-free rate, is 4%. |
| 1:18.3 | This means that if you invest $100,000 into a one-year U.S. Treasury bond today, |
| 1:24.2 | you'll have earned $4,000 of interest when that bond matures in 12 months without |
| 1:28.8 | taking really any investment risk. |
| 1:31.5 | On the other hand, if you invest $100,000 into a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, you'll only be |
| 1:38.2 | earning $3,500 every 12 months in interest for the next decade. |
| 1:42.8 | And that's because a 10-year U.S. |
| 1:45.9 | Treasury bond is currently yielding 3.5% percent, half of a percent less than the one-year bond. |
... |
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