4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 28 November 2023
⏱️ 28 minutes
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0:00.0 | China's property sector accounts for a whopping 30% of the economy versus 15% in the US. |
0:06.4 | And this hugely important sector has remained under pressure, hobbling the country's recovery and weighing on global economic growth. |
0:13.2 | So what's the road ahead and the implications for investors? |
0:16.3 | Could we see a systemic cause some kind of banking crisis in China? |
0:19.9 | For us, the answer is no. |
0:21.8 | And I think it's important to be aware |
0:23.8 | that policymakers in China |
0:25.8 | they're very focused on making sure |
0:27.5 | systemic risks don't emerge. |
0:29.8 | I'm Allison Nathan, and this is Goldman Sachs exchanges. |
0:33.0 | To help explain the significance of China's property market crisis and what it means for the broader economy and financial markets, |
0:47.0 | I'm sitting down with my colleagues in Goldman Sachs research, Hues Shan, our chief China economist, Ken Ho, our Asia Credit Strategist, and Yui Wang, who leads the |
0:56.2 | China Real Estate Team and is the co-head of Greater China Equity Research. |
1:00.0 | Wengkent are joining me remotely from Hong Kong, and Yee is joining me remotely from Shanghai. |
1:05.0 | Wei Kann and Y, welcome to the program. |
1:07.0 | Thanks for having us. |
1:08.0 | So Wei, maybe we could just kick off by getting some understanding of why the property sector troubles are so important here. |
1:15.8 | Sure, let me try to answer it from three different angles. |
1:19.5 | One is that the Chinese economy is very important for global economy. China's GDP is close to 20% of the global |
1:25.8 | GDP and then as you mentioned earlier, property is a large chunk of a Chinese economy. The second reason is that unlike in a lot of different economies, in China, property has |
1:36.8 | linkages to many parts of the economy, including, for example, local government sell |
1:42.3 | land as part of their revenue so you can see the |
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