Hi, it's Carol Markowitz. I'm so excited to launch my very own podcast. We'll talk to the

biggest names and politics, news, entertainment, and get to the truth of the issues that affect

your family and have some fun along the way. It's the Carol Markowitz show, part of the Clay

Travis and Bucksexten podcast network. New episodes drop every Monday and Thursday on the iHeart

Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to today's edition of the

Clay Travis and Bucksexten show podcast. Welcome back in Clay Travis, Bucksexten show. Appreciate

all of you hanging out with us. Got Ryan Gerdeski about to join us right now. He's got a fantastic

piece up. It is called the Trump Biden path to 270. How the presidential campaign is changing.

Fast, the sub-stack is national populist newsletter. You guys love Ryan Gerdeski and I say this

fondly because he can nerd out with the best of them when it comes to analyzing so many different

parameters, so many different races. We've had him on a lot over the past couple of years. Ryan,

thanks for joining us. You are initially, I think it's fair to characterize, skeptical that Trump

in 2024 would be able to put together a coalition that could lead him to victory. As we sit here,

13 months out and you are looking and checking and analyzing all the data sources coming in.

You actually are coming around to a place where I think Buck and I have been for the last

couple of months, which is Trump's actually in a really strong place if you consider where he was

for instance in October of 15. October of 19, he was actually in a pretty strong place that was

pre-COVID, but how would you assess Trump's chances in 24 and how do they compare to his historical

standing, Ryan? Thanks for joining us. Yeah, absolutely. Thank you, Rodney. I would say,

right now, say in the beginning of the year, he had about a 30%, 25 to 30% chance of winning.

He's probably at around a 40 to 45% chance of winning right now. So if I was a betting man,

my money would still be on Joe Biden to win reelection, but I've gotten a lot better for Trump,

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