Welcome to a good football show. It is half time. I am joined by John Dagle to talk waivers.

We are going to be going through all of the potential waiver pickups talk about waiver cuts.

My name is Pat Karein. We are going to be going through all of it. Let's just kick it right off with the big waiver edition of the week Elijah Mitchell.

We need to make sure that while we are still at half time, while people are still not watching football, they can get all of our thoughts on the guy who is going to really define the week on the waiver wire this week with the unexpected healthy scratch of Tray Sermon and Elijah Mitchell breaking out.

And Raheem Mosher now dealing with an injury. John, what are your thoughts on Elijah Mitchell?

Raheem Mosher was obviously injured after two carries and is now out for eight weeks minimum. A stretch that includes a likely high-scoring affair this week against the Eagles, this new up-tempo Seahawks offense, predictable shootouts, divisional shootouts against the Rams, and the Cardinals twice, and pour so far in small sample, colts and bears deepences.

And suddenly, the 49ers only have three backs available on their roster in Elijah Mitchell, Tray Sermon, and Jamaica Hasty until either Jeff Wilson or Mosher return first around the week 10.

And when I say all of that, I generally don't know how anyone could look at every detail of this situation and say they aren't excited for Mitchell's outlook.

And it's not even his box score, right? 19 carries 100 yards and a touchdown that we should care about is generally the fact that he handled 83% of San Francisco backfill touches, which is far and away the highest touch share of any individual among their backfield dating back the last year.

And remember, he was active for special teams in this particular game. So even when Wilson and Mosher return, Mitchell, we should say we should have confidence that he'll undoubtedly be active for that role and then have a chance to spiked weeks behind those two.

If not, if he wins the job outright or possible re-aggravations for those other two and further soft matches down the stretch, because remember, we drafted a particular best ball for weeks 15 and weeks 17 anyway.

So we know the 49er schedule and we know it's the easiest in that stretch for the fantasy playoffs. So what we're really is to get building bidding on is the San Francisco running back, which are extremely valuable in a time share, right?

Which is while also in the column recommend a 25 to 30% fab bin on him, even though you probably won't get him. You're probably going to have to go 40 to 45% to get him, because he'll also perpetually be in a time share, but this past, this past week situation provided a path all of a sudden that he not only is treated like the number one in a time share again, because historically that's what's happened with 49ers running backs.

But even if he is treated like that, he could be treated as the number one back in a time share, and then now his short term competition is Trace Irwin, a practice quarter, and Jamaica hasty, who only got two touches, even though there are only two backs available once most went out on Sunday. So genuinely, everything looks good for Mitchell.

Yeah, he was a very interesting prospect because he's highly athletic. He ran a 438 at 201 pounds. He ran a 6.943 cone. He had 128 inch broad jump 37 and a half inch vertical. I mean all those numbers are impressive. And so he gets the the late draft position, six round pick. He wasn't hyper productive in college, necessarily, but he did have over a thousand yards as a junior over 3000 career rushing.

yards, big time touchdown producer in his sophomore and junior year. So he's got some interesting elements to his profile. The question was, you know, how long was he going to take him to see the field. He sees the field right away in week one. What's interesting. I talked to Jack Miller last night for the recap pod. And he was kind of mentioning how, you know, hasty was used kind of more in the like the two minute offense and kind of on obvious passing down situation.

Which you would think maybe that that's where most of it would be. And then sermon would be the early down guy. So Mitchell seems to have really taken the sermon role. What I'm wondering now is what now that most are out. Is it going to be Mitchell and hasty or a sermon going to be able to reclaim the role we thought he was going to have. And maybe Mitchell, the speed back.

moves into the most short role or I don't know. What are your thoughts on how this works now. I think those are the questions we don't even need to answer. We are logically bidding realistically on a San Francisco time share running back, which everyone was drafting sermon too high. Anyways, it was irresponsible. What they were doing knowing it was a time share, right. So then suddenly why wouldn't you be interested because now you have a chance to get this guy for fat. Trace sermon is an analogy for Elijah Mitchell. And he's available on the waiver wires. So what for me is

of course we're bidding on him. And I'm not even trying to convince myself. Clearly, he now has a path. It's a range of his outcomes, right. Because I mentioned the 83% touch share. Not something I expect to happen. But if it happened once, it can happen again. But when I'm bidding on his spike weeks, I would like five over the next eight weeks of a fringe RB one, a low end RB two. That's what I'm bidding on. And hopes that he eventually wins that job. And maybe it's a higher touch share. And then also sticks around when most of the Wilson come back.

So to be clear, I am in on bidding. The question for me is, do I go nuts? Because you mentioned like 25 to 30%. I think in high stakes leagues, 50% might not get it done. I think some people are going to come in on. Yeah, I think, I think, especially because, you know, some running backs disappointed in week one. Right.

You're there's many owners now that are looking to be, you know, aggressive on the waiver wire when a guy becomes available. And it just so happens. This guy became available in what was a clear lead role. So

would it be irresponsible with your fab budget to spend something like 55, 60, 65% on Elijah Mitchell. Like where how much is too much for this given, you know, that you pointed out it's probably going to be some kind of committee.

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