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Wall Street Breakfast

Weaker gain seen in June jobs

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 29 June 2025

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Nonfarm payrolls hit on Thursday due to the July 4 holiday. (0:17) Constellation Brands reports: bull vs. bear. (1:06) Senate GOP clears bill hurdle. (2:12)

Show Notes
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's

0:09.9

market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

0:14.0

Hello, today is Sunday, June 29th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. It's Jobs Week again,

0:18.7

and traders get the number early due to the market holiday

0:20.9

for Independence Day. The markets are closed Friday, July 4th, and will close at 1 p.m. on Thursday,

0:26.3

the same day payrolls hit before the bell. Economists expect that June non-farm payrolls

0:30.9

rose by 120,000, with the unemployment rate staying at 4.2%, and average hourly earnings up 0.3%.

0:37.3

Wells Fargo economists say,

0:39.6

the labor market is losing altitude. Although payrolls came in slightly better than expected

0:43.4

in May, significant downward revisions to March and April unveiled a softer pace of expansion.

0:48.7

Looking through the household survey's monthly noise, the softening in labor demand will likely

0:52.7

keep the unemployment rate inching higher on trend, they added. The labor market's gradual loosening has already eased the pressure

0:58.2

on employers to hike wages. Also on the economic calendar, the ISM indexes for manufacturing

1:03.0

and services are due, as well as factory orders and construction spending. The earnings calendar

1:07.7

remains light, but drinks company constellation brands is due to report on Tuesday.

1:11.6

EPS is expected to decline to $329 on revenue of $2.56 billion.

1:16.6

As the company continues to face stagnant growth and tariff headwinds, analysts expect outlook to be weak,

1:21.6

with the wine and spirit segments struggling with double-digit revenue declines.

1:25.6

In the bear camp, seeking out the analyst Lucas Sachi says valuation appears stretched with an intrinsic

1:31.4

value below the current price and negative momentum increasing downside risk, especially before earnings.

1:37.1

That SA analyst Jim Sloan is more optimistic, noting that Berkshire Hathaway bought a position in

1:41.6

Stars in Q4, 2024, and doubled it in Q1,

...

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